Thursday, March 26, 2020



CHIAN AND THE GRAND PLAN
 "RESET". IT'S MY THEORY AND I'M STICKING WITH IT. 



Read this story. I've found many just like it. What does it mean? Well, if you ask me, they are all indicators of what China has been preparing for over the past several decades. Was the virus a weapon deliberately released to cripple the world's economy? Does an ageless Tennent of warfare apply? " It is better to hand your enemy overwhelming wounded than simply hanging them the dead"? Wounded take huge amounts of assets and energy, and that overwhelms your enemy's ability to focus on the fight. This virus overwhelms with sick, not dead? Coincidence? I'll avoid the question of weaponization for now and for one reason. I want to get to the issue I believe will give us the real answer to what is taking place. 

RESET:


"Reset". It's a concept I came up with several years ago. It was a concept of mine based on what I knew about China as well as how they were posturing themselves in the world. So, what is Reset? Simple. In my book, link above, the Dragon / China/ is postured to take advantage of the next real crisis in the world, a crisis they couldn't be directly associated with, but a crisis they were prepared to leverage to set into motion their true goal; world domination. In my book, that trigger crisis is a conflict between Saudi and Iran, one that quickly, with help, gets out of control. Now, that scenario may not align with the current virus crisis, but the premise does not change. China has prepared itself for being first back to the top...........yep. If you are properly prepared and you see a crisis coming, push the event knowing that you are in a position to be the fist back to the top. Sound crazy? Read my book. 

What Have they Done:

Was the purpose of letting this virus event get out of control deliberate? Beijing is struggling with the world blaming them for this crisis and their information operation to counter that accusation is a well-oilded machine. It's almost as if they planned on the blame game taking place! Think about that for a minute. Now, now they are "reaching out" to all of those nations that are struggling with the virus crisis. Gee, what a great group of people in that Chinese Communist Party. Xi, he's just one compassionate guy. Just ask the Muslims in China! 

The Western world's economy is diving into a ditch. The Chinese are reaching out to fill the void. Does any of this seem strange? Again, read my book! Beijing is out to leverage this crisis and that is not something they came up with in the past four months. The nation famous for in-depth planning, planning that is 30 to 50 years out, that nation is now making its move based on this crisis. At the end of the day, Beijing is posturing to be the savior of the world's economy. Strange. This happened just as the Hong Kong issue was about to disrupt Xi' s long term vision. What's that old saying, " the Best Defense is a Strong Offense?" Look. Xi and his Communist teammates are going to take advantage of this crisis, and that means they are capable of anything. If your doorbell rings and it's a care package from China, make sure you put it in water for a few minutes before you open it. They are out to make things go BOOM. 









Tuesday, March 24, 2020



CORONAVIURS 

SOMETIMES, THERE ARE NO EASY CHOICES


I haven't posted in over a week and for good reason. I didn't feel like it. Nope. I was not sick. I just wanted to watch this crisis play out for a week or more to see what the real issue might become. I had a good idea what might take place as you see, I've been down this road before. Here are two questions that seem to have virtually no value right now, but just can't seem to go away. 

1. How did this happen? 

2. Did leadership, all over the world, react too slowly? 

Here is the issue. the answers don't matter, at least not right now. 

Here is the question that truly matters. 

3. What is going to happen? 

If we can get at least a basic understanding of what this answer might be, we can determine what level of effort needs to take place and what area that effort needs to be focused on. 

So, here we go folks. Here is my down and dirty and my down and dirty is based on, "Been there....done that" at levels, you don't want to know. 

Risk Analysis:

For two weeks now, all I've heard are MSM "experts", political "experts", academic "experts" and frankly, I'm "experted out! Look, everything any of you has heard has to be based on one simple concept, a concept I've not heard one talking-head mention. Risk Analysis. What is that? Let me give you a cheat sheet version. 

Risk Analysis. When you look at an issue and you weigh the danger of not responding or over-responding. When you look at this concept up, you will find all kinds of prior military, thinktank, academic definitions and if you have time for reading that level of fluff, be my quest. 

Have governments, at all levels, all over the world, utilized this concept? Yes, but some may not have done a very good job or worse, some weight certain factors at a greater value than they really are, especially to the public. Risk Analysis is very...very.....subjective and that leads to problems, problems that come from the interpretation of statements and guidance and that leads to perceptions that become reality. If that's not bad enough, in truly free nations, political rivals find a way to twist issues for the sake of political advantage. You see, Risk Analysis is a vital tool in a time of crisis, but it's the decision-makers that come to the wrong conclusions, even when the data is there. 

Alright. What does this discussion mean to you right now? How does this post make life easier or clearer for you? Let me take a shot at what really matters. Back to the real question. 

Where are we going:


What is the death rate? Now that a much larger scale of testing is coming out, it seems the actual death rate is lower than all the "experts" scared us to death over. If it holds true, it seems the rate is 1 percent or less. So, let me ask a simple question. Can we continue to drive the world's economy over the cliff, a cliff that soon will take decades to recover from? Do we continue to do this for the sake of a virus that has a 1 percent mortality rate? We have already damaged the global economy to a point most "experts" are not sure what the real damage is. 

Before you paint me as insensitive, know this. I am over 60, I am in the High-Risk category given my battle with cancer. I am part of that 1 percent that is being killed by this virus. Now that I have that out of the way, let me paint an even more dangerous picture for you. Let me show you what a world in economic ruin looks like. Let me show you why President Trump's statement about how even more people could be killed by the crash than the virus; a comment that had the MSM's heads spinning. 

It was 1935 and my Mother was 14 yrs old. She and her family ate a meal with meat in it once every three days. They lived on apx 800 calories a day. Her family were farmers and worked outside. 800 calories didn't get you to noon. Let industry fall apart in the US/world. Let this interconnected, global market/economy fall apart and the repercussions are far greater than 1 percent. Sound like an ugly statement? Good, it was meant to be ugly! Here is the real problem. Back in the 30s, the global markets were not interconnected, yet the depression shook the whole world. Here is another ugly statement. If you think World War II didn't come about because of the depression, then you studied a different version of history than I did. Yes, the world was exhausted from WWI, but the desperation of the German people was brought on by the global depression. Enter.....Hitler! Does anyone truly believe that we can risk what is left of our new global economy for the sake of people like me? Can 1 percent of the population drive the other 99 percent into a destabilized world, a world that will go to war to find a way out of the crisis? Yes, folks. We will see a world that will stumble into a war if we don't get back to work. Will the US or China or Russia, well maybe not China, start a conflict to save what is left of their economy? What keeps a society loyal to the government? What makes a nation desperate? Unemployment, starvation, and the list goes on. No, the US and other large nations may not start a conflict, but nations far more desperate a year from now, two years from now, what about them? Can you read this post and tell yourself, "it won't happen!" By the way, that was the sentiment in England, France, and even the US around 1933/34. 

Yes, President Trump alluded to something yesterday. Yes, the MSM ran around the room with their hair on fire, but the point is relevant.  We must.................must perform a true Risk Assessment on what needs to happen. I will tell you this. This process has taken place with the US leadership, at least at the White House, and the dangers they now see from a continued freefalling economy is far more damaging and dangerous than the virus. Sound insensitive? Sorry, these are very insensitive times and by the way, I am part of that 1 percent. 



























Thursday, March 5, 2020



COVID-19
IF IT ALL BREAKS DOWN

Over the past few months, I've touched on the topic of how fragile how life has become in a complex society. I've addressed it over mass migration issues, the division of social norms inside a nation like the US, and finally, I recently addressed the topic over the issue of COVID-19. Here is the problem. This topic is not being discussed enough by federal, state, and local governments. Everyone seems to want to talk about what it takes to keep from getting sick, what to do if you get sick, and finally, just how bad this outbreak might get. Again, the problem is, no one seems to talk about the ugly issue, the breakdown of social order. Zombies? No. The loss of Critical Infrastructure, at least to the point of panicking failure? Yes. So, here I go again, only this time, I'm going to give you the down and dirty of what the media seems to be pushing us towards. If some of this sounds familiar, I apologize upfront but trust me, this version of the story is one I've not spent a lot of time on. By the way, if you ask if I know this topic, you don't want to know how well and why. Hush Connie:) 


Levels of failure:

Does it take a true disaster, emergency to send people into a panic? Did you read my post from the other day on the similarities between cattle and people? 

https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=7459309648379320825#editor/target=post;postID=4216488578586100482;onPublishedMenu=allposts;onClosedMenu=allposts;postNum=4;src=postname

Short version. People can panic and the notion of a rumor. The good news is, the percentage of those who panic on a simple rumor is minimal, that is until the rumor begins to have visual support. Like most emergencies, panic typically starts out low but grows based upon the level of validity. Here is an example. 

Rumor: the Virus is in your area. 

Action: Some percentage of people begin to take additional measures. 

Rumor confirmed by authorities: The percentage of people taking some level of activity increases, but still at a rate that is considered proportional. 

Visual confirmation by the public:  Schools closed, business told to work from home, ect...ect. The public continues to increase their reaction, and at this point, governance begins to see the results or impacts. 

Leadership walks back previous information: CDC releases someone they said was not infected, but then has to admit they were and that person had been released back into the public. https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/485771-texas-lawmakers-call-for-investigation-into-cdcs-handling-of-released-a The public begins to doubt governance's guidance. Rumors move quicker and have a larger impact. 


Other Areas show dramatic impact:  News clips of empty malls in California, England, Europe. People who have been on the sidelines of reaction, now begin to take measures. The percentage of those seeking action increases to over fifty percent. Those who casually go to the store, see the impact and add on to the hoarding process. 

Stories of shortages: This is where the cattle analysis truly sets in. People here and see shortages stories and go back to buy even more of what they think maybe about to disappear. Runs on stores are shown on all media outlets. The number of those now actively involved in the panic events is nearly 100 percent. 

Here is the scary part. What one of these steps have you not witnessed yet? Here is another ugly fact. The "smart" panic buyers, don't let anyone know they are doing it! 

At this point, we are still only talking about "preventive/proactive / events. What comes next is the real issue. What happens next is where the wheels start to come off of "normal" society. 

Infrastructure / First Responders: 

Firefighters being told to stay home because they are sick. Confirmed? Maybe not, but told to stay home anyway. " The worried Sick." A concept I've talked about before, but you may want to look it up again. The sewer plant that truly only has five people who know how to keep it functional. The rest of the staff have no clue. That's a typical scenario in the US and other parts of the world. One guy stays home, "sick," and the rest think, uh oh, did I touch anything he was working on yesterday?  " I don't want to take a chance, and I've got sick days. The heck with it, I'm calling in sick until I find out what was wrong with Bob!" Sound crazy? You better not think so. 

Police and EMS get a call to a guy lying on the street. He's been sick for two days, and now he is unconscious. " Dude. Did you make that call to the guy on the sidewalk yesterday? You heard he died today from the Virus? Hey. Why don't you go home for a few days and just to make sure?"  Yep. Don't believe me? Take a look at Iran as of today. Better yet, look at China's Police and EMS. They look like Chemical Warfare soldiers. 

Someone calls 9-11. The dispatcher informs the caller it may be an hour or more before someone makes the scene given the shortages.  Sound crazy? Okay, just keep thinking that way. Let me ask you something. What percentage of the First Responder Force needs to not be at work before the entire community begins to feel the impact? Do you have any idea? Have you ever asked?

How visual does the change to day to day life have to be before people begin to change all of their daily routines? Hundreds of millions of people in China staying off the streets. Industry at a standstill. China is pushing its way through this crisis, but they are far from clear from the danger. The rest of the world is seeing a giant virus bug behind every tree. Worse, many of them actually have that bug inside their society. Each nation, each state, each community is unique; trust me, I know! Some cookie-cutter response is not going to keep the people from panic. 

Just in Time Inventory Management:  

A day or two ago, I addressed the hidden danger of a "Global Economy." Let me touch upon another topic that corporations have lived by for two decades now. " Just in Time Inventory Management." If you have not heard of it, here you go. https://www.manufacturing.net/home/article/13240406/justintime-inventory-management-and-how-it-affects-cost

Hurricanes. That was the crisis that showed the US the dangers of " Just in Time Inventory Management. My story? Well, it had to do with thousands of people running out of gas as they attempted to get away from Hurricane Rita. My story? Someone telling me, " YOU HAVE TO GET FUEL TO THOSE PEOPLE OR THEY WILL DROWN!"  Yep. I've been down that road, pardon the pun. Here is my point, the ability of modern society to empty the stores is already a given. The issue that most people don't comprehend is when those who restock the stores don't show up or don't have anything to restock with. Let this virus story continue to get worse, both physically with the spread of the illness, and the fear of pending danger and the topic of nationwide shortages will be a reality in no time. 

The Haves and the Have-nots: 


Are large cities able to support themselves? What happens when stories run out of essentials? Do people get in their cars and drive to stores they believe may still have goods? Yep. Does that work? Nope! Does that make the crisis worse? Yep. Again, if you have ever been near a large Hurricane landfall area, you know what I am talking about. Cities; the land of glitter and glamor becomes the Zombie Zone! Did it happen in China? Nope. Why? Well, in a nation where you don't obey leads to being shot dead, it's not too hard to keep people in line. Let them see the first few bodies hit the street, and the fear of the virus goes away. In China, the fear of authority is absolute. You may get sick, but you will be shot! That's how you hold a society together, one that is on the edge of falling apart. Fear! Are we heading in that direction, outside of China? Iran is already there. Here is the other reality check. As things get worse, people stop caring about what is happening somewhere else. First, it's, " I don't care about China or Iran." Then it becomes, " I don't care about California or New York." Then, " I don't care about Travis County." Then, finally, " I don't care about my next-door neighbor." Sound too dramatic? Have you ever known something is about to kill you? If not, you have no idea of the human instinct to survive. 

Wrap: 

Look. I know this has been a melodramatic post. I realize some will read it and say, "what a fear-mongering flake." Here is the issue. I'm not the one driving this virus story into everyone's head. As a matter of fact, I'm one of those who have been saying, stop with the media-driven hype. The truth is, people seem to love this story. They seem to get a thrill from reading about the increasing number of sick people. Never mind the recovery rate is soaring; people love a crisis and guess what, so does the media and politicians. Nope. I'm not here to scare you. I simply want everyone to understand what they are heading into if they don't take a breath. Spook the people too much, and the stampede gets to the point, people run past the bullets. Everything will still work. It will be the people who have broken the society made of fine crystal. 














































Wednesday, March 4, 2020


JOE BIDEN 
THE CABAL MAKES IT'S MOVE

Okay, before we get started, let me make one thing very clear. I think Bernie Sanders is a complete nutcase, and hell would freeze over before I would vote for him. Now, with that disclaimer out of the way, let me get down to the point that is vital to the US elections in 2020. How in the world did Uncle Joe, who can't remember what he said an hour ago, come from last to the top of the pack? That's the question most people tracking the US Presidential election process are asking today. Here is the bad news. If you are looking, the answer is right in front of your nose. 

Deep State: 

Do those who believe they run DC and thus the US, truly hold elegance to one of the two parties? No! What they hold sacred is the Cabal of those who have been in DC for decades, yes, decades. Feathers off the same bird? You bet. So, what does this have to do with Uncle Joe? Here is your hint. The year 1973! Uncle Joe is one of the "Elders" of the Cabal. He is one of the most trusted members of the "Deep State". Still, confused? Look, when crazy Bernie began to show real signs of kidnapping the US Democratic party, what's left of it, the Cabal knew it was time to act. You see, Bernie is the antimatter of Trump, but they both have something in common, they are not members of the Cabal. Yes, Crazy Bernie has been in DC since 1991, but, he's always been, well, crazy Bernie. He's the guy that you allowed to come to the party, but just stood in the corner and talk to the other nerds! He was never, ever a member of the Cool Guy Club, and that folks is the problem. 

Recapture the Flag:

A little over four years ago, the unthinkable happened. A "Nonmember" of the Cabal somehow made it inside the White House. The result, an automatic attack program designed to extract that non-member as soon as possible, by any means possible. After three years of this coup attempt, it became clear the Cabal was going to fail, and so, they did the only thing they could, they began to look for the person that could retake their Castle. That's when the next disaster took place. Not only did they fail in the Coup attempt, but the Cabal wasn't paying attention while another disturbance came along. The so-called " Squad" movement began to attempt their own Coup, but this Coup was against the other party, the Democrats. The next thing the Cabal knew, the radical side of the Democrats, really the new US Socialist Party, was gaining power and gaining fast. Now, this new threat to the powerbase in DC had a leader. Enter, Bernie! Bernie, the unapologetic Socialist. Was he the head of the new revolt the Squad was looking for? Probably not, but he was good enough to get the damage started. Well, things then went from bad to worse. Not only did the nerd from all the old parties begin to get traction, he began to win! If that's not bad enough, the loyal lapdog of the Cabal, the Mainstream Media / MSM/ seem to pick up a bad case of Stockholm Syndrome. Bernie was fun to follow and the MSM did just that. The next thing the Cabal knows, the sky began to clear. The "outsider" in the White House was going to be challenged by yet another, "outsider", the nerd. 

Power on Display:

Uncle Joe when from last to Gas in less than a week? How? The Cabal, that's how. Just how much power do you think resides inside the beltway, land of the beltway bandits? Captains of industry, political leaders who have been in power for over forty years. That my friends is real power. It was that power that went to work. The Cabal was not about to challenge one nonmember with another nonmember. But, this time, the beltway bandits had an advantage. They knew the history behind this nonmember. This outsider had a history that would scare the Amerian Public to death, or at least the Cabal hoped so; they don't pray by the way. Praying is for the underlings. In DC, the Cabal is the body that is worshiped. 

How powerful is this Cabal? It took them a week to take the frontrunner and hand him a series of defeats. Cooked books, photos of Crazy Bernie in Moscow. Nothing was off the table and the Cabal knows how to play dirty, real dirty. The end game was simple. There was an "Elder" of the Cabal in the race, and even if he couldn't find his way home, he was still going to be the chosen one and the hell with what the voters might want. What's the old saying? " Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me." Well, that was going to happen this time. Uncle Joe will be the one thrust into the battle with Trump, even if he has to be tied to his saddle.  The Cabal will take control of their Castle and that is all there is to it. As for the MSM, well, you can clearly see that by the time Super Tuesday was over, they had all read the memo. " Uncle Joe is back!" 

Fat Lady: 

If there is one saying Crazy Bernie knows by heart, it's this. " It ain't over until the Fat Lady Sings." Politically incorrect I know, but I don't have editors, so... too bad! Bernie is down, but now out, and who knows that better than anyone? You bet, the Cabal! The "Elder" will be propped up and teams of, " he didn't say it that way", fixers will be on standby as the poor old guy starts to speak in public again; Biden that is..............not Bernie!  As for the MSM? well, they better hold the line or there will be hell to pay.  

As we sit here tonight, we have a very fascinating event taking place. One nonmember is in the White House, looking to stay for four more years. Another nonmember is trying to take over that Cabal Castle without the support of the boys that use to invite him to their parties. To counter all of this, the Cabal is trying to keep Governor William J. Le Petomane from falling asleep during the rally! Yep, folks, it's a circus, but it's an entertaining circus all the same. Trump and Uncle Joe on the debate stage. That will be better than Friday Night Smackdown! As I head today on the radio, I wonder who will be Uncle Joe's, Headly Lamrr? 



















Monday, March 2, 2020



GLOBAL MARKETS
WHEN DO THEY HURT YOU?

If you are running around, panicked over not finding items such as a mask or worse, your prescription, you may want to reconsider the whole concept of, "Global Markets". You see, here is the trick to everyone clamoring for a global market. If times are good, then the concept makes money for those companies buying and selling their goods. But, and here the where this virus comes in, when times get bad, even dangerous, that same global economy, well, it can kill you! 

Single Points of failure: 

Are there some items that should not be part of the global market process? Yes, pharmaceuticals are cheaper from overseas, but what happens if that supplier cannot produce? How long does it take to compensate for lost capabilities, overseas capabilities? Is that predicted period of time sufficient to keep the public confidence in the process? What happens if it doesn't? I had a discussion on this topic with a person who I consider to be one of the most optimistic people I know. Here was the crux of the conversation. 

Them: " If other suppliers know there is a demand, then they will step up production and the gap will be filled." 

Me: " Got it, but that's a normal world answer. When the world is sliding far away from, 'normal', then what? How do overseas factories produce the items others may need if no one is working at the factory?" 

The conversation went on for a few more minutes, but in the end, I won! The inherent risk of a global market is the development and acceptance of single points of failure. In a typical world, the gains of a global market outweigh the risk. here is the problem. deadly or not, this is not a typical event. The media, to include social media is driving people into a panic. Just yesterday in Iran, people burned down a clinic because they "heard", rumor, it was treating virus patients. One of Ayatollah Khamenei's top advisors died in the past 24hrs and several other key government leaders are sick. Panic in Iran is now two-fold. 1. The people know the government will not do anything to really support them. 2. Tehran is scared sick over losing power to an angry public. All of these types of issues create the next real issue. In a time of crisis, those that can produce tend to keep what they make. If China makes 90 percent, close I think, of the world's medical protective gear, and they can't bet their workforce to go back to work without knowing they are protected, where do you think Beijing's priorities rest? By the way, just how bad is China's economy, that global juggernaut, damaged? Take a look at this satellite photo. the lack of pollution means what? Yep, the lack of factories working, people moving. you want to see a picture that scares the Emperor to death, that would be one of them. 



The Cons vs the Pros: 

People are like cattle. I said it just last week on this blog site, but I will say it again. Spook the public, any public, and the issue, whatever it is, will get worse, much worse. Stores in the US are now limiting the number of sanitizers people can buy.....cattle. Reports of California stores running out of Toilet paper, I'm still thinking about that one and bottled water. I didn't think California would allow bottled water. I guess as long as you don't use a straw, it's ok. Look, the more the media talks, the more spooked the cattle become, and what are they looking for, what are they willing to commit a crime over? Yep, those items that they depend on someone else to provide them. 

Global markets. It's a great idea in normal times. We are not in normal times and that slight risk every government and every corporation was willing to take, well, that risk is now the reality. The trick to a successful gambler is knowing when to cover their bets, and that's something most nation's didn't do. Here is my closing comment, and it's based on events taking place between Turkey, Syria, and Russia. When governments get in trouble, real trouble, they look for a distraction. The more saver the trouble, the larget the distraction needs to be. Think about it. Better yet, think about what's going through Xi' s mind right now.