Syria’s ‘shadow government?

Several weeks ago I talked about the concept of the Syrian Opposition trying to form a government in exile, inside Turkey.

Well; it appears, at least at first glance, that process continues.

Back when troubles were really getting out of control in Egypt, I mentioned the scene from Laurence of Arabia when all the tribes try to agree on who should do what.

As has always been the case, fighting, warfare, takes a great deal less cognitive thinking than building a governmental system that appeals to all parties involved.

Meeting in Turkey, like meeting in cyber cafés in Cairo, looks good on TV and the Web, but actually developing a working government doesn’t take place in a conference room of an upscale Motel.

Don’t get me wrong… Assad and Iran are not the least bit happy this event is taking place in Turkey.

I’m just not sold on the idea the factions inside Syria are really sitting down together and mapping out the future of Syria.

I did happen to see a Syrian Muslim Brotherhood spokesmen stand up a giving the same obligatory rant  they are giving in Egypt. “ The people must be heard”.

I always get a kick out of hearing an organization like the MB making such a statement.  ( Insert laughter here.)

I wish just one time one of them would stand up and say, “with the exception of the following.. Women… Non Muslims  ect.. .ect… “.

Yep, don’t buy this “centrist MB”  hype coming from the minds of the wishful thinkers of the world.

The state of Missouri in the US has as very appropriate saying, “ Show me”.

So, what does this meeting in Turkey really mean?

The early stages of a more unified opposition in Syria could be starting to take place.

The problem will be getting them to do anything other than meeting in a nice conference room.

How Assad and more importantly Iran reacts to this process is the real issue right now.

I would not focus on what this group says.

I would focus on what it does and what Assad does.

I didn’t add Iran in that last sentence given Assad will only do what Iran tells him to do.

His problem is, he is not very good at carrying out Iran’s orders!

I want to end this post by reemphasizing just how difficult it is to form a “ shadow government” especially when you have a desperate country like Iran willing to do almost anything to keep this concpet from taking place. 

It’s a wise move to be thinking about what needs to be accomplished IF Assad falls.

It’s a concept the youth of Egypt did not anticipate and frankly were not qualified to attempt. ( Watch the link attached and you will see what I am talking about.)

http://english.aljazeera.net/programmes/thecafe/

 Syria continues to be the key issue in the Middle East.

The future of Iran, Hezbollah and Lebanon hang in the balance.

The  threat of a regional war hangs in the balance as well.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/07/2011716131429976477.html