THE "U.N" PLANS FOR POST ASSAD...........REALLY????
So the UN and Ban Ki-Moon are anticipating UN actions in a
post Assad Syria ?
I can't describe how disturbing that sounds to me!!!
Can someone please explain to me what it is the UN is
capable of without major world powers being involved.... Europe ..
The US , China , although they and Russia don't contribute a whole lot
other than complaints when it comes to UN actions.
So what nations are going to step into the sectarian
battlefield of Syria
and "Police" the nation as the UN executes it's typical "support
/ cleanup" mission support?
Are the "Peace Keeping forces going to come from Africa ... South America ... Asia ??
Now, the UN might pull off it's typical rental of Third World troops... you know... the ones that get
nearly two or three days of intense training before their country charges the
UN some outrageous fee for deploying them... deploying based upon someone give
them a ride to where they need to be.
Yep, you guessed it.... I don't put a great deal of stock in
UN Operations and let's just say I have a great deal of experience on the
topic!!!!
Lets look at another group that behind the scenes thinks
this concept is as hilarious as I do....... and that would be the GCC!!.... We
will not mention the " Two Bears"!!!
So, why has this conversation even come up????
I will tell you why.
Some inside the UN are beginning to understand just how
quickly Assad could fall from power or worse yet.... leave for the safety of Iraq or Iran .
Nearly two years ago, I warned everyone that if the day came
that Assad fell from power, it could and most likely would happen far faster
than anyone anticipated.
If you go back on look at some of my post from the beginning
of the Syrian conflict, you will see where I spoke of the dangers of a quick collapse.
Last week, I mentioned the tell tale changes that were taking place as we heard reports of very precise mortar
attacks in the middle of Damascus.
In my mind and the minds of those like me, the signs brought
on by this news was the true warning bell of a possible collapse.
Last year when the International
Airport at Damascus became a prime target, the tide
began to change and change dramatically.
It was then I spoke of the loss of confidence Assad's
backers would begin to feel, to include the Russians and the Iranians.
Ok, let me stop playing, " I told you so"... it does get old!!!
Here is what the UN is worried about and the news media /
"experts" need to get it right and do so quickly.
When Assad falls, the crisis will grow ten fold!!!
Yep, many have said this, but they have been vague on why
this statement is true.
Why will Syria
slide into a full scale humanitarian disaster; one the UN will be powerless to
stop or even marginalize?
Because those countries that have the capability to prevent
such an event are not going to step up or at least not in time to prevent it
from taking place.
Hunting missions for dangerous weapons will take priority of
any other mission when that time comes.
Agreements will need to be reached on who is going to do
what after Assad falls....PS.. I still think the threat of his own "
loyal" members killing him is more than real!!! Namely Iran !!!
Here is the second issue the UN knows is going to take place
soon after Assad's departure!
Hezbollah, or should I say the assault on Hezbollah!!!!
Does anyone think for a second the Sunni groups who concur Syria , the ones that know not to get too
distracted by Lebanon , at
least not yet, will not turn their attentions towards Lebanon and
Hezbollah?
If not, you are fooling yourself.
It will be at that precise moment many of the nations
sitting on the sidelines will have to make very difficult choices.
Let Lebanon
slide into a sectarian civil war with Hezbollah at the center of the issue, or
try some magic to keep the Sunni / Shia war from spreading.
Here comes the most difficult question and the one that everyone
has struggled with from day on of the so called Arab Spring............. What
to do about it????
So, If you are placing your bets on the actions of the UN, I
would bet on a black number... the future of the UN solving this crisis is
black!!
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2013/04/2013411260451189.html