AS SYRIA RAGES... DON'T LOSE TRACK OF LEBANON.
Attached is a series of stories I read this week that have
one common theme.
Lebanon is virtually at the edge of the abyss.
Tensions between Turkey and the Kurds boiled to the surface
this week, but it was Lebanon that continue to catch my eye.
As you read these four stories, you can easily see just how
unstable the government of Lebanon has become.
It's critical to keep track of the violence in Aleppo right
now, but the issues of Kurds and Turks and the government of Lebanon are issues
that must be watched as well.
Iran is struggling to find a suitable solution for the
disaster that has become Syria and the fall of the pro Hezbollah government in
Lebanon is more than Iran can handle.
If that's not enough, Iran now has to divert energy towards
the issue of a growing Kurdish movement; a movement that has desires on Iranian
land.
The March 14th part in Lebanon knows the timing is nearly
right to strike a blow against the pro Hezbollah groups in Lebanon, but the
reaction could be far more than they ready for.
In my opinion, Lebanon continues to be one big event away
from a full-blown crisis; a crisis that could quickly lead to a collapsed government.
What worries we most, is the fatigue level of the people who
are trying to keep the whole region from imploding.
Issue after issue continue to gain in complexity and speed.
At what point does it all simply become too much to keep
together?
I say Lebanon is key.
Keeping Lebanon from conflict is key to keeping the region
out of a regional war.
