THE OTTOMANS MOVE INTO SYRIA.

               Not the first time the Turks have pushed forces into Syria, but this time is different. Now, from day one of the Syrian Civil War I’ve been talking about the one true issue the Turks could not lose sight of. The creation of some version of a territory named, Kurdistan. It was the universal worry for Turkey, Iran, Syria and Iraq. It was the one issue they all had in common. None of them wanted to see a slice of land carved out for the Kurds that would lead the world to using the title of “Kurdistan”. The Ottomans, The Persians and the Arabs may not have the same vision of the future, but they do share the nightmare of a Kurdistan. So, what happened? Why now? What made Egodan drive his forces into Northern Syria in a much large operation than in the past?

The Manipulator:

               If you saw this word and the Tsar didn’t come to mind, then you need to keep studying what is taking place in the region. Okay, now, let me answer the question of, “why now”. What has been the goal of the Tsar from day one of the Russian involvement in the Syrian Civil War? Europe, more specifically, Eastern Europe. Yes, the Middle Eastern fuel scenario is very important to the Russians and its true economic engine, fuel. But, the old “buffer zone” of Eastern Europe is the issue that keeps the lights on in Moscow at night.  Eastern European countries, countries that belonged inside the old Soviet Block and their relationship with NATO, that is THE… issue. That has always been the issue and that will be the issue until the scenario is no longer on the Tsar’s plate. If the West intends to destabilize Russia, something the Russians truly believe, then the counter is and has been to destabilize a region that is important to the West. Mass migrations into Europe. The stoking of a religious Civil War, a Civil War that can involve over a BILLION people across the world, these are just two issues the Tsar is deeply involved in; knowing that both of them have an end-state of endangering the day to day peace throughout the globe. If Mother Russia is not to know safety and peace, then no other nation will, especially those that are responsible for the danger to Russia. So how does the Tsar’s pressure on the West lead to a nutcase like Egodan to move such a large force into Syria? How does the Tsar manipulate two NATO nations into a possible confrontation?

NATO vs NATO:

               If there is one strategic goal the Tsar has had in mind as he attempts to counter the Western advancement on Mother Russia, it’s the idea of damaging the NATO alliance. Now, from day one, both Egodan and the Tsar have set a goal of manipulating the each other. First it was the defiant Ottomans shooting down a Russian fighter. Then it was the great kiss and make up that came a year later. Both men looking to advance their own dreams and both men attempting to use the other to achieve those dreams. From the Tsar’s standpoint, he had the golden opportunity to create a huge fracture in the concept of NATO. He fully understood the unstable relationship that had developed between the US and Turkey. The plan was set in Moscow and the intent was clearly exposed. If Russia could drive a wedge between the US and Turkey, then the result would be a less effective NATO. Sounds simplistic, but the plan to exploit this rift was very……….very complex and the EU’s reluctance to accept Turkey as a partner only added fuel to the fire. Moscow played every card almost perfectly. The Migration event that has led to the destabilization of Europe was seen as an action by Egodan and the Turkish government. In fact, it was the Russian military’s arrival in the Syrian Civil War that started the uncontrollable exodus. It was Egodan who realized that by allowing those fleeing the conflict to enter Europe, he could force the EU to come back to the table of acceptance and thus spur the Turkish economy, and economy that was weak at best. But, in the end, it was and has been the Tsar who has been manipulating the Sultan of Turkey, often without the Sultan even realizing what was taking place. As complex as this whole story actually is, the simple fact of the matter is, Turkish forces are moving on ground held by US backed fighters, Terrorist, take your pick! A major NATO partner is threating / warning  / the leader of the NATO alliance. Who stands to gain from this? Take one guess. Look. I have talked about this time and time again. If you want to know why the Russians are so intertwined in the Middle East, look to Poland, look to Ukraine and you will have your answer. Will the forces of one NATO nation fire upon the forces of another NATO nation? That is a dream come true for the Tsar!   Off in the distance, off in the shadows another set of eyes are quietly watching. The Dragon looks on from its cave!