AS SYRIA
GOES.. SO GOES LEBANON ...
AND THAT'S THE PROBLEM!
Read some interesting comparative analysis of the impact the
events could have on Lebanon .
The interesting part was who
wrote the editorials.
The short answer is both sides of the political fence in Lebanon , pro Syria
and anti Syria ,
both have come to the same conclusion.
If Syria
falls into a full scale Civil War ,
Lebanon will
become a proxy battlefield.
The rockets fired today from inside Lebanon towards Israel is a dramatic reminder of
how intertwined the entire region really is.
Perhaps this event today was more than just a few rockets
fired into Israel .
Perhaps, as I commented last week, it's Iran reminding not just Israel , but everyone just how
volatile things can be.
It's common knowledge that the Free Syrian Army is getting
some level of support transiting through Lebanon .
Syrian efforts to stop this logistical flow can only make
matters worse.
It's only a matter of time before the fighting taking place
just inside the Syrian border happens just inside the Lebanese border..... more
than just firing at a small group of people
Rumors of " Safety Zones" continue to abound and
the perception in Syria
can only be one of immanent intervention.
It's that perception that will drive Al Assad's supports
away from him and he knows this.
It's his understanding of this that will lead him to taking
desperate actions thus fulfilling the "Rumors".
Sounds crazy, but it's more predestine that most people
understand right now.
Can the region stay out of a Regional War???
Everyday could be the day and the stress on the Arab League
and the GCC and the Israelis is unrelenting.
Ten months of stress....
How much more can the region withstand?
How many more times must we all hope the leaders of the
region don't make the wrong decision?
Personally, I think we ran out of luck three or four months.
Most of the leadership of the region knows what is coming..
they are just trying to put it off as long as they can or perhaps just need
more time to prepare.
The odds of us all waking up and suddenly seeing a
happier... brighter day for the Middle East is
a long .... .long ... long distant dream.