I am probably tealeaf reading here, but I've seen a
interesting trend in the past few days that is now worthy of addressing.
If you read the linked articles, you just might find a glimpse
of what I'm about to say.
Once again, let's play the "what if game".
What if General Habib's defection to Turkey was no
accident?
What if the meeting between his friend, Prince Bandar
approached the Russians was about an alternative Syrian government plan based
upon someone the Russians and the West could live with?
What if Assad caught wind of this potential deal between the
Tsar and the GCC / Arabs and panicked..... panicked so much that he decided to
use weapons he knew would change the dynamics of the entire region?
The final linked attached is my post just a few days after
the 21st of August event; a post where I asked the question that everyone is
still struggling to answer.... Why... Why did the weapons get used now?
Would my "what if theory" explain an alleged signal
intelligence capture that reportedly shows Hezbollah reporting to Iran
what Assad had done?
Would it explain the Tsar stating he might support a UN vote
on the Syrian issue?
My gut tells me there is something to this whole chain of
events and I cannot be the only one who is picking up on it.
Now, let's us play the "Assumption game"!
If we assume there is some move afoot to undermine Assad,
something I said two years ago would eventually happen with the Tsar and the
Persians, will it work?
Could it lead to the type of "Diplomatic Resolve"
that everyone keeps calling for?
Have the key players found a person both sides can live
with?
If so, then why the rush to attack Syria ?
Good question and it's the pivot point as to why I'm
somewhat reluctant to continue with the Tealeaf reading.
Ah, but there could be one factor not incorporated into the
story.
Back to the "What if" game!
What if.. the concept of this "deal" doesn't have
the Western players as voting members?
What if this "deal" is a "deal" between
the two oil giants in the world... the CGG and the Tsar?
I just love the "what if" game... Some of us have
played it for years... decades!!!!
Ok, now back to the " Assumption" game.
Let's assume I'm correct and this is exactly what is taking
place.
Here is the Billion dollar question!!!
Will it work?
The answer is.... No!
If such a backroom deal, like most political dealings, is
underway, there is one wildcard that cannot be overlooked.
How many factions are fighting in Syria as of today?
Can you count them?
If the Russians and the Persians and the GCC come to grips
with a "nutral" party to temporarily lead Syria, how in the world do
you get all the Syrian factions and Warlords, that is exactly what some of them
have become, to agree?
What brings the Kurds to the table?
How do you turn off the revenge pipeline?
If you answered with GCC funds, you are smarter than the
average Bear when it comes to how the whole region works.
Who pays the bills for the Radical Islamic groups?
Since the beginning of the Arab Spring, the event that
worries the Monarchies of the GCC the most, who has the closest ties to these
proxy fighters?
Yep.. The GCC!!!
But, the GCC members are forgetting one of their oldest truisms..
just because you feed a Scorpion, that doesn't mean it will not sting you!!!
Tealeaf reading.... What ifs an the Assumption Game... all
so easy to do from so far away!
