Back
in September of 2012, actually several times before that, I posed a "what
if" question.
As
the events of the past few months have continued to unfold, I thought now might
be a good time to update my "what if" question!
Now,
I know the probability formulary is the most important factor when we consider
a " what if" question given that determines just how much time and
energy should be put into figuring out the 'what if"!!!!
But,
as I stated back in September, let's just play the game without the weighted category
of probability.
Ok,
let's get started....
Lets
say for the sake of argument the Chinese are really fedup with dealing with the
whole North Korea / South Korea
issue.
Lets
say the Chinese have come to the conclusion if the Korean Peninsula
Lets
assume the Chinese feel as if they can no longer dictate the actions of North
Korea and the added tensions over territorial control for the whole region was
more important to them than wasting time and energy on a topic that seems
hopeless.
Simply
put, "what if" China
just basically said, " so what.... what does it matter" or "We
give up....Inshallah" or the Chinese version of this... given they are a
Godless Country!!!
What
if their frustration over the whole China Sea issue put them in a position of
letting North Korea
go its own destructive way?
Remember,
we are leaving the " probability" part of this question out.... yes I
know the whole theory of China not wanting millions of starving North Koreans
walking into China.... lets just drive on for a minute.
Ok,
so let's assume China sees
the events in Mali and Lybia
as just a smoke screen for the West to block further advancements by China in the mineral rich lands of Africa ...
Let's
assume we have a China
that is becoming more and more concerned with social stability to the point of paranoia.
So,
let's see.... we have Territorial rights issues ////// "containment"
issues/// Social issues and a crazy neighbor that is the main reason your adversary
uses as an excuse to keep a formidable military at your doorstep.
Gee...
China
is just gong to ignore all these issues right.. for the sake of selling cheap
toys to the West????
Before
we move on, read the link below. Oh.. by the way... "The Global
Times" is all but run by the Chinese Government. read on!!!
http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/758130.shtml
Ok,
back to the September 2012 point I made...
Lets
assume China knows full well
our capability to deal with North Korea
and Iran
simultaneously is a feat that would drive the Western economy into the ditch.
Let's
assume a nation of people who plan events based on fifty years or more weighs
all the issues listed above and decides the damage / recovery from a simultaneous
conflict... one they could stay out of all together.. is worth the risk..
Let's
cut to the chase now.
If China decides to counter the West's effort to
" contain" China
how might they do that?
Could
it involve a crazy neighbor they have all but given up on, or is it time to use
that crazy neighbor to your advantage.....finally?
Could
China instigate an event
with Iran ....
I hope we all believe the answer here!!!
2013
is not a year where we can afford to fixate on one issue such as Iran ... Arab
Springs... Islamic Fundamentalist in Africa ...
Eyes
wide open!!!
All
options on the table.. and my most favorite line from " The
Untouchables".. What are you prepared to do about it"?????
I
hope we are there!!!
http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/2012/09/a-theory-at-beginning-of-this-year-i.html
