NORTH KOREA. THAT CAN WE KEPT KICKING…WELL…HAS A DRAGON ATTACHED!
A few days ago, when I spoke about reopening this blog site,
I mentioned one of my goals was to provide my Sons a better understanding of
the world around them. As I said then, my focus would remain on the Middle
East, but I am going to make a diversion to other parts of the world more often
than I did in the past five years. So, here we go………Away from the Middle East
tonight…well… somewhat!
In 1994 President Bill Clinton, perhaps soon to be “First
Husband” of the U.S., made a hard decision that all of us knew would come back
to haunt the rest of the world down the road!
North Korea was on the verge of a nuclear weapons program
and everyone knew it. The tension rose to a level that rumors of pending
conflict reached the evening news. The US President sent a very aggressive
message with a robust show of military force and the fear of warfare had South
Korea nearly in gridlock.
It seemed North Korea was actually willing to take the whole
issue right to the edge of actual conflict. To make a long story short, nobody
was backing down! Not the US, not North Korea, not South Korea. As for China?
Well, I’m not sure we will ever know what real pressure the Dragon applied or
did not apply.
In 1994, in the end, it was the West / US / that blinked and
that “blink” was the preliminary act that has now set
stage for the current round of drama in the region.
Was it just President Clinton who botched this entire issue
of North Korean nuclear weapons? No. That kick the can concept was carried on by
the next two administration as well; well make that three actually!
Over the past few years, I’ve commented on this whole issue
of North Korean nukes and the relationship this program has with much larger
issues in the world.
For years, North Korea was the wildcard the Dragon could
unleash on the Korean Peninsula and just the thought of doing so gave the
Dragon just what it needed; leverage!
There has also been the reoccurring theory, one I totally
agree with, of a “relationship” between North Korea and the Persians. As I posted
a few years ago, what better way to text a design without having the IDF
raining hell down on you then to have your “partner” work the project? Yes…..
believe it!
Did the US know this happening or believe this might be
taking place? Most likely. But, remember, once you start playing kick the can,
it’s difficult to suddenly stopped and say, “lets solve this”. Kick the can is
a great political tool when the alternative is just too difficult to figure
out. “Maybe it will get better with time”.
Or, the more politically popular, “kick the issue down the street until
my turn at the helm is over”. In the U.S
Army, the nickname for this concept is, “action passed is an action solved”.
As the North Korean can was tumbling along, the US and its
Allies miscalculated yet again. Why would the Dragon allow its chained wild dog
to obtain something that might upset the whole “Master Plan” for the region? A Master
Plan designed by China. The false assumption on the part of the US was that
China would be opposed to a nuclear armed North Korea. The threat to regional
peace would simply be too high. Wrong!
Dead wrong!
Here is the concept that the US missed or just didn’t want
to face, yep; part of that kicking the can!
Let me start by saying, if the Dragon didn’t want North
Korea to have a nuclear weapons program, they wouldn’t have one! A process as
complex and lengthy as the one the North Koreans have been involved in cannot
happen without support. Support from friends and complacency from enemies. The perfect
combination.
Why? Why would the Dragon want North Korea to have nukes?
In the past few years, I’ve entertained two theories. For
the sake of time, I will keep the details to a minimum, but if you are curious,
go back and search this blog site. I’ve spoken to both theories with great
detail the past.
A.
In the eyes of the Dragon, a nuclear North
provokes a regional conflict the Dragon has formulated. At the end of this
pending conflict, the primary reason for the US being militarily deployed in
the region is void. The only excuse they have left is confronting the Dragon itself
and after a world crisis such as war with North Korea would create, the taste
for such a follow on event would simply not exist in the West. Yes, the Dragon
knows the 21st century Western Citizen has no staying power. Look at
the US today compared to just fifteen years ago. A Chines concept of temporary
loses/ acceptable losses is far different than any ideology in the US.
B.
Has the Dragon designed a plan that forces the US
and its Allies to fight at opposite sides of the world? Hence, the relationship
between North Korea and Iran. If you don’t believe that relationship exist,
then you are not digging deep enough. A shared weapons research program and an
agreement that I have nicknamed, “If you go, I go”.
In both cases, the same conclusion can be made. The Dragon
supports the development of nuclear weapons by North Korea. When the dust
settles, who is left standing? Who is the regional power those traumatized but
such a war in the region will be willing to reach out to? Yep. The Dragon!
So you see, the US has kicked a can the Chinese needed to be
kicked.
The time for a regional showdown in the Pacific was not 1994
or even 2001 when the North was tossed into the bucked of “Access of Evil”.
Whatever is taking place with North Korea is more than just
the actions of a fat little mad man.
The strings of the North Korean puppet are still attached to
the Dragon’s wings!