THE BATTLE
FOR QUSAYR... HEZBOLLAH REALITY CHECK!!!
The author of this story brings up several valid issues that
are worthy of further, tactical analysis.
Before we get to the issue of Hezbollah's concerns, lets
take a quick look at the so called
"malitias" the Iranians have pushed into Syria .
These sectarian militias have one goal and one goal only, to
act as cannon fodder in the classical sense of warfare.
Simply put, they are not expected to be tactically proficient
or even combat effective.
They were put into the fight to allow the more skilled Syrian
and Hezbollah units to maneuver once the Cannon Fodder units were tossed into
the fight.
Made up of young men with nothing else to do with their
lives and no real future, the thrill of combat and a small paycheck landed them
in an operation will they will be chopped up, accused of War Crimes, given most
of them are common criminals for hire, and left on the battle field if needed
by Assad or Hezbollah if needed.
Ok, lets move on to the real issue with the fighting in
Qusayr?
What if......what if... Hezbollah finds itself being fought
to a standstill?
What if Hezbollah units have to pull back after taking
ground they died for?
How do they sell that to a "base" that is having a
hard time accepting their actions even as they seem to be doing well?
How much of their force are they truly willing to commit to
the fight in Syria ?
What do they leave to the rear to defend the
"Base" if needed and it appears that threat is growing with every
hour that passes.
If Iran
orders them " all the way in", will they do it?
How much of their fighting ability are they willing to get
bogged down in Syria as Israel gladly
watches on with a smile?
Here is the classic issue Hezbollah has never historically
had to account for.
What is the "Exit Plan"?
Exit planning....something the truly professional militaries
struggle with.
How long does Hezbollah's leadership "sell" the
death toll to it's "base"?
If Qusayr falls, can Assad's forces hold it without
Hezbollah?
Oh.... you see.....it's so easy to get into a fight.... but
the art of getting out.....well ... that is something Hezbollah has little
knowledge of.
If Hezbollah is now officially caught in a "grind"
inside Syria ,
who does it really benefit?
I bet we all know that answer!!!
