APRIL 10TH PASSES.... NOW WHAT???

Anyone that was holding their breath for Assad to stop killing his own people as he agreed to is simply out of touch with reality.

All day long today, the real question remained, " now what"?

Does the situation get worse and if so how?

I can't look into a crystal ball and forecast the next move over Syria, but I can point out an issue that needs to be addressed.

For weeks now, many of the media " experts" have made reference to Syria's " key Ally" Russia!!

Time and time again the argument has been made, if Russia turns it's back on Assad, his days are numbered.

Again and again..... the storyline continued to be based on Russia being the backbone of Assad.

It's simply not true!

When you say Russia, you need to think Putin and when you say Putin, you need to be thinking about Russia not Syria.

Simply put, Russia's support for Assad is based on what Putin thinks he and Russia.. although I am convinced he truly believes he is Russia...

If you look at my past post, you will see where I have addressed the issue of Putin's / Russia plans for Syria and Assad.

Putin will leave Assad to the wolves the second it is to his advantage to do so!

He is what a man like Putin understands!

The longer he holds out.. and the longer the West is desperate for the Syrian issue to deescalate... the higher the demands Putin can make.

If you follow my logic, then you have to ask yourself, what does Putin really want and who does he want it from?

If there is a price for Russia's / Putin's / change of heart, then what is it?

Oil!!

I've said it before and I will say it again..

It's oil....

There are pipelines and oil deals that Putin supports from the area and there are pipelines and oil deals in the area that he doesn't support.

Turkey's pipeline projects do not fit into Putin's Master Plan or not as they currently are executing.

Turkey knows this all too well and so does anyone in the oil industry.

Putin  is not supporting Assad just because he wishes to poke the West in the eye.

He doesn't have time for mindless / endless political games.

He is a man on a mission to rebuild the Russian Empire and the Tzar is an impatient individual.

Ok, what does this mean?

The world needs Russia to back away from Assad.

The world knows the oil issue.

So.... ask yourself... what deals can be offered to Putin and who can offer them?

Problem... when you offer things.. someone else usually comes up on the short side of the deal.

Who is that going to be?

Turkey?

Saudi?

In the meantime, the killing will go on and unfortunately  might even get worse.

If it does, the pressure to come to terms with the Tzar of Russia will only grow and trust me when I tell you he knows this.

Is Russian worried about the court of World opinion?

Hell no!!! when have the ever worried about public opinion?

Here comes the real problem.

I am very confident Russia / The Tzar / has underestimated the Iranian resolve in the Syrian equation.

The problem with looking down your nose at someone... as the Russian do with Iran.. is you tend to underestimate their resolve.

Russia's support to Assad is about Russia  and not the region and surly not about looking like a world leader.

Underestimating Iran, in my opinion, is exactly what the Russians have done!

As soon as Russia comes to understand this, the price for support may change.

Yes... Syria remains the most complicated issue for the modern world to deal with.

The North Koreans are about to shift the world's attention off of Syria for several days if not more.

That will give Assad ample time to really up the tally on bodies littering the streets of his own country.

It's a complicated world and injustice is a common theme!

Let's see what the next move is.. but it better happen before North Korea steals the spotlight.

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