The story of Chicken Little is about to apply to the Middle East .
For over a year now, many of us have warned how out of
control the Syrian event could become.
I have said time and time again, Iran
cannot accept the loss of Syria ,
Hamas and Lebanese Hezbollah.
These are Red Flag issues that would push Iran into a corner they would have
no option but to fight from.
The fall of Assad leads to the fall of the current coalition
government in Lebanon ,
a coalition government that is controlled by Hezbollah.. the Iranian Puppet.
Hamas has been lost to the Muslim Brotherhood and only small
factions inside Gaza remain committed to doing
the potential bidding of Iran ...
The saving grace for Iran
in the Hamas issue would be the amount of damage that could still be launched
from Gaza .. an
event Israel
would have to react to neutralize.
The troubles in Iraq
I wrote about last night only add to the paranoia building inside Iran .
Nothing is going their way.
Even Azerbaijan
is beginning to increase it's resistance to Iranian influence.
So, it must be no surprise to anyone the statements coming out
of Iran .
The problem is, for too long people have talked of wars and
rumors of wars when it comes to the Persians.
I fear many are simply not listening or have simply adopted
the " Chicken Little Syndrome"..
What's important here is the sequence of these announcements.
Larijani knew full well the briefing that was taking place
at the UN today.
In the minds of the Iranians, the comments by the US Ambassador
to the UN, Susan Rice, were focused directly at the supporters of Assad.
The idea of the US
pressuring the UN to realize the time for unarmed, passive observer missions in
Syria may be coming to an
end is a warning to Iran ...
at least that is how Iran
will have interpreted the statement.
Threatening a regional war is one of the last options the
Iranians actually have.
Many may say the price is too high for Iran to take such reckless action, but the
moment of truth is closing in on Iran quickly.
I have predicted for months now, Hezbollah is the key to
what Iran
is willing to do.
If War in the region is the option Iran takes,
then Hezbollah will be the key to the initial act.
Making Israel
overreact is the key to Iran
having any chance of keeping the Arab Muslims on their side of the war and even
then it will not work with the GCC / Turkey
and Egypt .
Now is the moment is pre -conflict events when Nation States
decide to take sides or sit it out!
Some are often forced into the fight and as such, they limit their involvement.
The fact of the matter is this.
Options are limited and growing smaller by the day.
As soon as everyone thinks conflict is about to start, it
probably will.
I'm not sure what Ambassador's Rice's comments meant to the US people, if
they even heard them, but I know what they meant to the Iranian leadership.
I wonder how many phone calls are taking place between Moscow and Tehran ?
Oh ya... 85 dollar a barrel oil is bad for the Tsar!!!!
This is a fight he may make a killing off of!
