The latest round of diplomatic initiatives created an un-opportunistic
time to shed blood on the streets of Egypt 's major cities.
As of today, the majority of the "group think" is
now pointing to day after Eid al-Fitr.
Here is the problem, that is most likely exactly when the
Morsi camp is expecting the situation to change.
I.E.... There will be no surprise, not even to the media
hungry to cover the anticipated carnage.
I'm not sure there is anyone left who is wondering if the
blood will flow in Egypt .
I'm even surer there is probably no one left who can stop
it.
What does the day after it starts look like?
That is the million dollar question!
Does it last a day..... a week.... a year?
Does Egypt
turn into Syria ?
Does Tunisia
follow soon after that?
Does the whole region fall into a crisis?
Assad's plans for Aleppo will
not execute under the cover of the pending crisis in Egypt .
As a matter of fact, the ball may just swing in the other
direction as Egypt
spins into madness.
Here is what I would bet on.
For all the talk of the pending AQAP actions somewhere in
the world at some point it time, against some target, I would keep a close eye
on Egypt and the volume of violence it could produce.
AQAP may attack somewhere, but Egypt 's crisis is going to happen
and what it leads to could easly take the world's eye of the AQAP all together.
And if I was them, that is exactly when I would strike!!!!
The joyful meals and celebrations of Eid al-Fitr may be the
last peaceful days for most of the region and Egypt / Sisi holds the keys!!!!