SEPTEMBER IS ALMOST HERE!!

This article strikes right to the point I have been talking about since January  of this year. 

Between the STL and the potential loss of Syria, Iran finds itself in a 

desperate position. 

For Iranian leadership, the dream of the "Persian Empire" is all but gone and the reality of survival is about to take place. 

Iran has to come to grips with the following facts. 

1.    Hamas as a strategic war fighting tool has been lost to the allure of the Muslim Brotherhood. ( Egypt) 

2.       The STL indictments could lead to Hezbollah losing its grip on 

Lebanon. (Odds are better than 50 .. .50) 

               a.   Something the MB would love to see. 

b.   Lebanon's chances of sliding into conflict grows larger with each passing day. 

         i.      The end result is Iran losing its second strategic tool for conflict with Israel. (Hezbollah's second front on Israel's border). 

1.      Syria's pending loss as a Satellite of Iran with the reality of a Turkish influenced / Sunni  based government.   ( Ottomans 1. Persian 0 ) 

2.      Immanent social disorder inside Iran based upon the fall of Syria. 

                        (The Spring comes to Iran .. finally) 

               a. As oppressive as Iran's leadership is, it will not stop the 

        movement if Assad falls. 

i.         Iran is fooling itself if it thinks it can control 

" social networking". 

   b. The "Resistance" has had months to set up the infrastructure    to do so.. with "friends". (Articles and blogs abound on this topic.) 

 So, how important does the Palestinian issue become to Iran in September? 

 I submit it becomes an issue of national survival. 

Pushing Israel to violence without openly starting the war has to be Iran's only option, but they will have to be ready for total war; something that will be virtually impossible for them to achieve.

Iran has to get the attention shifted and the Palestinian issue is the only real option they have left. 

The vote in the UN will be dramatic regardless of the outcome. 

If it is delayed, as some speculate it could be, riots and protest will be the result.. 

  Not just in Israel, but Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon as well. 

 They will be huge and violence is all but assured.

  ( Iran will make sure of it)  

If the US is forced to actually Veto the UNSC vote, it won't get that far, then the results are the same only with open hostility to the US; more than usual.  

If the UNGA votes for anything other than membership, the results will be the same. 

It is for this reason that Israel has announced a mobilization starting near September 10th. 

The rest of the world may underestimate what is going to happen in September of 2011, but Israel will not. 

Oh ya.. Iran does have one true friend left. North Korea!!!! 

http://www.yalibnan.com/2011/08/23/the-new-alliance-troubling-tehran/