Monday, March 3, 2014



THE TSAR'S "ENDGAME" IS IT JUST ABOUT THE UKRAINE?

If you've flowed my postings for the past few years, you are probably well aware of my opinion of Mr Putin and his "Vision" of where Russia should be by 2018.

Well, it's only 2014 and so does that mean we are four years early on his dream of a reemerged Russian / Soviet Empire?

My guess is no.. he is not four years ahead of plan.

My bet is he factored in a few years of "hard times" prior to things settling back down and the new "order" being accepted.

Get Europe hooked on Russian fuel?

Check!

Get an American President who is weak and unfocussed on foreign policy.. Putin's perception that is.

Check!

Monopolize the big money of Russia.

Check!

Rebuild a smaller more agile Russian military.. .one that has resolve.. something the West no longer possess or even desires.

Check!

Let me put his another way!

Has anyone stopped to comprehend this is not about the Ukraine at all?

Was the events in the Ukraine predicted so precisely by the Tsar that as soon as the social media driven Arab Spring environment hit on his doorstep, he was prepared to begin the process of rebalancing the modern world into his vision?

Sound  silly???? Then you don't really know the mind of Mr Putin!

What was it he said was the single most tragic event of the 21st Century????

Fill in the blanks there if you can.

So, is it "now or never" for Operation Russia Rising?

Has the Tsar understood all along this vision of his had to happen before the Dragon became the real issue in the world?

When the dust settles, does the Pacific belong to the Dragon and the trading partnership with a dominant Russian Confederation.. that's what it will be called by the way after they swallow up the part of Eastern Europe the Tsar wants back.

Did Putin see the faltering European Union as a weak and vulnerable target.. one that he has desired to carve back up for 20 years now?

Look; the simple question becomes..... did the stars come into alignment just enough that a well planned out Tsar was willing to move to the next level?

If so, and I think this is more than a possibility, then all the threats in the world about the G8 or sanctions will be short-lived.

If the Western world is so fatigued from a poorly executed twelve year war on Terrorism and the Tsar perceives the West has shot themselves in the foot commitments wise, then where does this all end?

What is being said tonight in the chambers of government inside Romania, Moldova, Bulgaria and oh yes... Poland?

They are all now frontline countries and the Bear is not done looking for land.

If the Tsar is ready to spend the next four years with an angry Europe, what is the rest of the world willing to do about it?

More importantly, who understands what can be done about it or how to counter it?

Let me close tonight be making a even more unnerving statement.

What if... What if the Tsar sees the US as so social fractured..... so politically polarized that he has no confidence in the US resolve to do anything about Eastern Europe.

Worse, what if Eastern Europe feels this way?

If you think it can't happen I would ask you to talk to the Saudi's or the Israelis!

I said last night I would start to look at the tactical side of the Ukrainian event, but I just felt it was too important to look at "big picture" events first.

Tuesday, I will dive into the possible fighting side of this event and how Mr Putin has probably completely underestimated what will happen to his forces and his image if fighting gets underway.

One last request.. If you are reading this in Europe, please pass it on.. I have a friend who just thinks he is smarter than me on the topic.. and I would love to out do his website....AGAIN!!!