RUSSIAN "TYCOONS" AND HOW TO ASSESS GOOD INTELLIGENCE.         

Once again, let's play the assumption game.

Lets assume the rumors of Pro Russian "Tycoons" moving money up to two months ago are true.

How in the world could the intelligence community, from several countries, miss this?

Is it possible the intelligence community doesn't judge the sudden movement of funds of key supporters of world leaders as a "key indicator"?

People are going to ask, " so, do we watch the movement of money and if so, how"?

Does money typically flow from certain locations to certain location prior to a major event taking place?

Is the intelligence community ready to give the public an explanation if this rumor does turn out to be true?

 We know who the Tsar's main supporters are and we should know where their money is; notice I said 'should"!

Again, I'm going to assume this rumor has some merit to it and I'm also going to assume the Western intelligence community was asleep at the switch.

Once we get passed the idea of this transfer of funds actually taking place, an even more ominous fact comes to the surface.

The events in the Ukraine are on a course that has been predetermined just as I had feared.

Moving money is a way to keep your supporters from losing money and that implies the Russians anticipated sanctions and individual sanctions.

Is that important?

Yes.

If the pending sanctions, something the EU will vote on in less than 24 hrs, then have been preprogrammed into the Russian plan, then the next phase of that plan will take place regardless of any so called sanctions.

Rumors of Russian units preparing to enter the Eastern sections of the Ukraine are growing by the hour and everyone seems to be holding their breath.

Events that are about to unfold are far too important to step backwards and wonder how this money movement issue, if true, could have taken place without the intelligence "experts".. I use that word loosely..... understanding what was taking place.

Here is the bottom line:

As of the 11th of March 2014, the Western world can do little to keep the next Russian move from taking place.

Pain will to come from another direction and do so quickly and even then a "tit for tat" interaction will do absolutely nothing to impact what is about to take place in the Ukraine.

Side note:  I don't think we have even seen the beginning of the new, 21st century way of playing the old Cold War game of " ship bumping"...

Cyber and all that we do not understand about what that means.... that is the next generation of "ship bumping"..  

AWACs and Russian airborne exercises will have everyone watching, but the real shots of a Russian / Western conflict may come with little to no sound and not a single vehicle firing on another vehicle.

Oh, all of you "cyber warriors" please don't tell me DOS / Denial of Service attacks are already the indications of what could take place..

DOS events are child's play compared to what we really fear.