2013: WHERE IS THE MIDDLE EAST
HEADING? PART II. IRAQ ?
Over a year and a half ago, it was becoming obvious the Arab
Spring was morphing into a regional sectarian conflict; the issue of Iraq 's
future came into play.
No one in their right mind would have ever had made
statement in Iraq "
stable".
Regional issues of the Sunni and Shia tensions were no
different and are no different for Iraq .
The future of such sectarian tensions in Iraq once again
far more important for the Iranian
government than others in the region.
Towards the end of the American occupation of Iraq
to become clear to many of us the true Victor after several years of conflict
was going to be the Iranians.
But as luck would have it, the Arab Spring would come alive
the whole region.
Now, the concept of social injustice and economic imbalance
was not going to be the catalyst for conflict in Iraq as much as age old issue of
sectarian, tribal animosities.
As the Arab Spring began to be molded into what some
believed would be a more, "controlled event", it became apparent that
Iraq
would come into play.
You see, in my opinion, the GCC nations began to believe a
sectarian conflict in the region was far more controllable than the social
disruption of the Arab Spring.
As these leaders began to reshape Arab Spring, it also
became apparent the opportunity to pull
our least disrupt Iraq
from the Iranian sphere of influence was an opportunity that must be explored.
It is not a complicated thought process as such is not that
difficult to come to the conclusion of the GCC nations and others determined
the best way to defeat the pending social disruption of the Arab Spring was to
change it into something had more of a, "external threat", smell to
it!
Now, I ran to have its goals for the Arab Spring as well as
a grand plan to keep the event from taking place inside the Iranian populace.
So, in the midst of all of this, Iraq became the potential
battleground for the ongoing, deflecting proxy campaign to prevent many of the
current governments in the Middle East from going the path of Tunisia and Egypt.
But we have witnessed over the past few days, mass protest
inside Iraq , is easily in
another annex to the GCC nations' master plan for Iran .
You can well expect continued turmoil in Iraq and you can fully anticipate a
greater degree of Iranian meddling in the GCC states.
One thing the GCC nations and the Iranians have in common,
is the simple fact that this ongoing proxy environment throughout the region
will delay in disrupt the concept of the Arab Spring truly taking hold inside
their respective nations.
So, in 2013, you can add Iraq to the list of troubles not
just for the region for the UN and the rest of the world.
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/12/2012122875346526845.html