RUSSIA’S UPDATED FOREIGN POLICY STRATEGY. HINTS OF CHANGE?
Yet another example of an important event taking place that
just seems to have slipped by the major networks took place two weeks ago.
Honestly, It wasn’t until a few days ago, when I was reading this article, that
I realized the Tsar had released his countries’ updated Foreign Policy Strategy.
Now, you might ask, “so what”? Why should the average Joe on
the street care what this document states? Well, if you like seeing dramatic
events take place on the major news networks as you tilt you head like a dog
hearing a loud noise, if you like having a major event explained to you because
some 30 year old Blond with spiked heels and a slit dress is translating the
event for you, our you wait for the plastic hair looking political leader to
scramble for airtime in order to look important / gain votes / after a two
minute brief from one of their staffers, then simply stop reading what I am
about to say. If you are just a little inquisitive as to how your world may be
impacted by major events, then let’s travel on.
Major Policy documents by dominant powers in the world, such
as this one, are scrutinized long before they are officially released. A virtual legion of analyst, from multiple
countries are assigned to track documents like this one twenty-four hours a
day, 365 days out of the year. What is going to be said, what does certain
statements “really mean”? These are the questions that billions of dollars are
allocated towards with the single goal of finding the most accurate answers. By
the time the actual documents are released, the typical reaction is, did it say
what everyone anticipated it would say? Just how good was the intelligence
community that worked on the project?
Two schools of thought:
1.
These documents are gospel!
They announce to the world the absolute
intent of the nation that released it.
They provide a window into the inner workings of those who call the
shots. They are often filled with “hidden meanings….. Subliminal messaging….words
between the words”!!!! Hint. This is the
area the intelligence community lives for. The geeky guys and girls who have
spent their whole lives studying the people who draft the documents. The ones
that know the name of the Tsar’s first dog and his second grade teacher’s maiden
name. Hollywood loves to portray these folks in just about every government
based thriller.
Industry thrives on these
documents. Billions or even Trillions of dollars are influenced by what these documents
state. The Defense Industry and their Lobbyist spend almost as much time
preparing for this level of document as the intelligence industry does and as a
matter of fact, if you are about to leave the intelligence industry and want to
find a home with the private industry, just show your value by supporting one
of the concepts that will be pithed based on the findings of the document. From
the industry standpoint, the ability to secure the next generation gadget is
based on two issues. One, classified intelligence that shows research and production and second, documents
that state what strategic direction the nation claims they are heading. We must
have the new widget given the enemy clearly states they are going to utilize the concept of the widget. The Arm’s
Race concept in a very simplistic viewpoint.
2. These documents are not worth the paper they are written on!
Some see this level of
documentation as nothing more than a ploy or even worse, disinformation. Make a
few bold statements about what you intend on doing and then watch to see how
your enemy reacts. Can you get your enemy to expend billions on concepts that
are worthless? Once again, one of the favorite concepts for the intelligence community.
Are the statements true if so, what can they find to back them up? Again,
billions are spent on trying to determine if the statements are factual or are
they a ploy?
Do nations actually follow what
they put on paper? Are these documents truly a guideline for what they intend
on doing or are they simply required homework, the next is a series of episodes
that have a timeline for production? You know, are they simply going through
the motions? Imagine how confusing it would be if a nation wrote several of
these over a period of time and never followed half of what they said, oh ya,
that is usually what happens, and then suddenly they make some dramatic change
in strategy? The opposition intelligence community would have a nervous
breakdown. With all the overanalyising that takes place mixed in with political
leveraging for prestige or party positioning, how is it that any nation can
truly determine if a strategic document is worthy of reacting to?
Hugely complex and astronomically
important to fiscal expenditure, a Foreign Policy Strategy release by the
Russians is vital to every nation that looks across the table at the Tsar. Why
did this topic not come up in the past two weeks? Well, in DC the thought process
is the common Joe on the Street doesn’t care and wouldn’t understand and even
worse…… they are not capable of understanding.
If you disagree, pull this document of the internet and read it and then
you decide what it means to you.