http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/2011/07/week-ahead-week-ahead-has-one-common.html

KILLING KEY PLAYERS..... DOES IT WORK?

Back in on July 23rd of 2011, I talked about the last Iranian Scientist assassinated and at that time my key question was, " how could Iran let a key player go unguarded?".

Well, it's January of 2012 and once again I am asking the same question.

If Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan was a vital member of the Iranian nuclear program and four of his counterparts have been killed in the past few years, how did someone get to him?

Now, as a former Cop I will be the first one to admit if someone wants someone dead, it's very hard to keep them from achieving their goal.

If someone has the skills, equipment and opportunity to execute a assassination, then the odds are they are going to succeed or at least make the attempt.

The reoccurring question becomes, how could Iran not realize this might happen?

The simple answer is, they did.

Here is potentially their predicament.

The best way to keep people like Mostafa alive is to keep them isolated.

Put them in a secured compound and limit who has access to them until the task they are assigned to is completed.

Simple right???

Wrong!!!

Here's why.

The Iranians know all too well if they sequester their best and brightest nuclear scientist, it will give a clear perception of  a program that is not what they claim it to be.

Simply put, if you want a program to look like a weapon's program, then treat it like one.

Someone has made the conscious decision to let these key players lead what appears to be a normal life, at least in the public eye.

They must have security details assigned to them, but again the decision had to  have been made to make these details as covert as possible.

Again the issue of not painting a picture that would lead others to think you are up to something seems to have outweighed the Threat Assessment.

Ok, so this works for the ' open public', but it doesn't work when put up against state of the art intelligence organizations.

For " someone" to realize the importance of people like Mostafa is not that hard to do.

The interesting point is, those that went after these " Key Members" of Iran's nuclear program can not admit, at least not openly, they knew the individual's real job.

The next logical question people may start to ask is, " how many of these 'key' scientist are there"?

Is the art of killing critical players of a weapons development program going to prevent the objective from being reached?

Must of us know the answer is no.

So, is this a delaying tactic?

Maybe!

Remember one of the key assumptions of Iran's enemies is based upon the Arab Spring taking place in Iran before a conflict is launched.

What does Iran do about these Assassinations?

As is the case with the last four events, the Iranians are gaining ground in the court of public opinion.

Those that realize the alternative to delaying the program is most likely a regional war understand the value of the killings.

Having said that, the Iranian leadership does win the high ground battle.

So what does Iran do about these consistent attacks?

First off I would bet the leader of the Personal Security Detail for the program is about to pull duty in the Streets of the worst hell hole Iranian leadership can dream of.

The fact that Iran's enemies can consistently enter Tehran and kill key people is more than aggravating to it's leadership.

If Iran cannot keep track of who is in Tehran, a city known for being a " locked down location", then that does not bold well when the Arab Spring organizers show up... my guess is they are already there.

The bottom line is Tehran is not the secure site Iran pretends it to be.

Internal Intelligence / Security  in Iran is being embarrassed on a massive scale.

I would not be surprised if Iran rounds up the rest of the key players and does just what I said they could not afford to do.... Sequester the whole group somewhere safe.

They have the excuse to cover the event now.

" We must protect our national assets who are only trying to bring clean safe nuclear energy to the people of Iran".

Yep, I was not sure how many times " others" would get away with this tactic of killing key members with " sticky bombs".

As a matter of fact, I was floored when I heard how this took place AGAIN!!!

As I said back in July, " fool me once shame on you... fool me twice shame on me"!

So, what is the saying for fool me FOUR TIMES????