IRAN IS NOT THE ONLY FACTOR

Last night I talked about Iran’s ability to not pull the trigger on the Palestinian issue if they believed Assad could survive.

As I stated, the ability of the Palestinian people to push Israel to the brink of warfare is limited without the support of Hamas and Hezbollah.

Having said that, an over reaction by the IDF would force Hamas to respond and the counter to Hamas may start the spiraling of events no even Iran could prevent.

So, the simple answer is, just because Assad is potentially out of the woods, I’m not sold that he is, the Palestinian issue still has the ability to overtake the region.

Iran’s ‘ instigators’ may not be activated, but young emotional Palestinian protestors could still provide the spark.

We should also remember  the ‘Crazy Eddie” factor can come into play as well.

Radical groups who owe nothing to the Palestinian people or Iran can provide the same spark.

Drawing Israel into a larger conflict can be the goal of groups Iran has no control over.

The more I think about it, the more convinced I am these elements are the ones we should really be concerned with.

 Over thinking all the possibilities of the Palestinian statehood event is easy to do.