AGAIN AND AGAIN... THE QUESTION CONTINUES.. WHAT IS IRAN WILLING TO DO?

Time and time again, I have talked about and asked the question; what is Iran willing to do to keep Syria in the Iranian camp?

So, what has changed?

What has made the Israelis once again talk about "intervention" in Syria?

Is the threat of Hezbollah or other radical groups obtaining WMDs changed, become worse?

Hard to tell given the smoke screen that can be placed over such events and the political reluctance to take action only to find out one was wrong!!

Here is one aspect of this topic that has changed and continues to change for the worse.

Iraq!!!

Iran now faces the loss of influence, control in Iraq as it struggles with the events in Syria.

Again, the question becomes.... what will Iran do?

As we struggle to come to grips with Iranian paranoia, we must not forget the threat of actions by Iran's enemies.... namely Israel!

Israel has mad it abundantly clear  they will not accept or allow WMDs in the hands of Sunni or Shi'ite groups!

It's even more important to realize Israel doesn't base it's actions on the "words / speeches / given in the region.

If Israel took that stance with Iran, it would have gone to war years ago!

Two concerns keep Israel planning for preemptive operations.

One is the deliberate movement of such weapons to Hezbollah who would most likely attempt to store them in Lebanon, thus creating a third dimension to this crisis.

The second issue is the loss of such weapons to radical Sunni Rebel units currently fighting in Syria.

Now, one of these events is more coordinated than the other and that would lead us to believe the ability to detect such a deliberate event would be easier... we would hope!

The other, non deliberate event, by the way, I'm not totally convinced Assad would not let the loss of WMDs take place perhaps as one last great act of defiance and " I told you so", creates such a large amount of speculation and "fog of war" the Israelis might actually fear it more.

In both scenarios, the end state for Israel is unacceptable and we all know it.

So, the issue becomes, does Israel wait for ether of them to actually take place or do they find a point in time where they take action to keep ether from happening?

The story linked here hints to that course of action, and by the way, the Israelis have a history of living up to their "hints"!!!!

Ok, back to Iran.

Does Iran contemplate Israel may be closer to taking preemptive actions on Syria's WMD arsenal?

Remember this weeks warring, " An attack on Syria would be considered an attack on Iran"? 

Let me make this thought process even harder to deal with.

How many times have I said Iran might  easily be willing to allow the pending conflict with Israel start with an event that is not based upon the Iranian nuclear weapons program?

How many times in the past two years have I mentioned my theory of Iran forcing the issue outside of Iran?

An Israeli attack on Hezbollah storage sites in Lebanon or in Syria would be just the ticket for Iran if and that is a huge if, they are ready for a conflict with Israel.

Now, the DEBKA story states Iran is contemplating an event that ends in yet another stalemate like 2006 /2008 and 2012.

My bet... Don't count on that theory from Israel... not with Iran involved.

Yes.. interesting and dangerous times continue in the region... oh ya.... have you heard out of North Korea in the past three or four days????

http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=301317

http://www.debka.com/article/22716/Iran-actively-weighs-Syrian-Israeli-clash-Iron-Dome-posted-in-N-Israel