SIGNS OF A SYRIAN GOVERNMENT ON THE BRINK?
Two interesting reports that paint a picture of what many
fear, a Syrian government that is near the state of panic.
The old saying goes, " a picture is worth a thousand
words"; in this case it's a video.
A few weeks ago I spoke of what a dramatic change of events
it had become when the rebels could stand their ground against "regular
military units" and win!
It became even more important to realize the rebels could
limit the movement of Syrian Military members and leadership inside their own installations; a true measure of a military on
the defense, not offense.
In the first attached report, the video shows the rebels not
only taking a key Headquarters facility, but having the time to wire the whole
thing to blow up!
This is a force that has the advantage, and the Syrian
Military knows it.
The second article hints at something that is even far more
dangerous for the region than a rebel force that is able to take the offense.
It speaks to an issue most of the world has forgotten.
Syria is a nation of complex, massive WMD weapons.
A few weeks ago I talked about the danger of these WMD
locations staying in the hands of the Syrian government and even the negotiations
that took place between the US and Russia to keep these weapons safe.
Assad sees his
military now engaged in conventional combat in multiple locations inside of
Syria.
He sees his military consuming it's conventional stockpile of
military hardware at an alarming rate.
More importantly, he sees his countries ability to defend
itself rapidly decreasing.
A military that know longer believes it can win and no
longer believes it's leadership is trying to win is a military that will no
longer shed it's blood!
A civilian population that is no longer willing to follow
it's leadership, is a civilian population that will no longer allow a leader to
stay in power.
So, what is Assad's options?
More importantly, what are Iran's options?
The military " exercise" over the past few days is
a clear sign to anyone that is paying attention.
Assad is telling the region and the world he is close to
making everyone pay a price of his departure.
Creating an "external" threat to attempt to rally
the people and the military is his last desperate act, or is it?
The DEBKA article talks to something that world leaders
realize.
Assad and his Iranian handlers have one terrible option
left!!
The most important question of this long conflict finally
comes to the table.
Will Assad use his WMD?
Will the Iranians force him to use them?
Such a act would spell a crisis beyond explanation for the
region and Iran knows this.
Does a imploded Syria, something that Iran cannot live with,
mean Iran is now calling the shots in Syria?
He is my question.
If Assad were to give the order, would his military leaders
follow it?
Who left him last week?
Why?
Does he control his WMD or do the Iranians?
Starting a "external" conflict is his only option
left, unless he decides to use his WMD arsenal.
Two options and both of them are disastrous for the region.
It's time for his most trusted military leaders to turn on
him, that is if they are left.
I fear his real military leaders now wear Iranian uniforms.
