THE HYBRID THAT MAY JUST CATCH ON!!!
First off, let me just say that this is a very well-written
article by Hussein Jemmo.
Now, let's get down to what could prove to be a critical
discussion on the future of the Middle East .
I'll start by saying Jabhat al-Nusra could very well be the
result of years of experimentation by Islamic fundamentalist groups that has
resulted in a concept an organization unlike any of its predecessors.
The author of this article has does an outstanding job of
listing the differences that Nusra has
accomplished in its operations inside of Syria .
If you were to remove the religious aspects of these
accomplishments, you might begin to see what I consider to be some of the 21st
century tenants of warfare.
I'm not going to get tied down in discussions of
fourth-generation and fifth generation and so on and so on; that's truly
irrelevant at this point.
What is clear with the actions of the Nusra groups in Syria
is their desire and their focus.
In an attempt to capture some of the more important aspects
of what the author of this article states are taking place inside of this
organization, I would like to speak to a few specific facts.
First off, it appears Nusra is already plotting and planning
for dealing with the FSA and the so-called government in exile after the fall
of Assad.
The simple fact that this group realizes that their in-state
goal must have a plan for dealing with the FSA and all the others who will come rushing to Damascus proclaiming they are
the new government is brilliant.
The fact that Nusra already realizes this obstacle is in
itself a change from some of the old habits of Islamic fundamentalist
organizations.
The next item I found more than interesting is how Nusra controlled
and continues to control the "targets" they choose to engage.
Determining conflicts based upon lines of support and
friendly forces to your left and right is a concept not often followed by most
amateurish resistance groups.
The fact that this organization picks and chooses after
careful planning when to attack, where to attack and why to attack is an
indication of just how more advanced they truly are in the other groups in the
Syrian resistance.
I also found it noteworthy how this organization goes to
great strides to keep its operational missions as simple as possible.
Understanding the confusion and distraction that results
from being tied down in support matters
after a conflict, such as other Islamic fundamentalist groups tend to do, is
detrimental to the overall mission and
Avoiding these
mistakes is key to this organizations overall success.
Simply put, Jabhat al-Nusra has developed a very focused and
deliberate process for engagement inside of Syria .
This hybrid organization also seems to have captured the
most critical issue to their survival and future; winning the respect of the
people they claim to be defending.
Calling this organization the "Islamic Army" is an
indication of just how far they have come in the critical process of
"hearts and minds"!
When the FSA is referred to as "thieves" their
future in a leadership role inside of Syria is more than doubtful!
Now, after heaping praise upon this author in this article,
I do cast doubt on the amount of credit given toal-Qaeda for providing guidance.
We're really looking at here is an Islamic fundamentalists/military
operation that is based upon some very proven concepts of engagement in both
kinetic warfare, guerrilla warfare and psychological warfare.
The balance has been achieved here, at least for now, is
noteworthy in quite frankly disturbing to those who oppose the Islamic
fundamentalist movement.
One group we can place into the "proposed" column
interestingly enough is the Syrian Muslim brotherhood.
The continued success of Jabhat al-Nusra is bad news for
what the Islamic fundamentalist consider "middle of the road" members
such as the Muslim brotherhood.
In the never-ending world of the betrayal Nusra leaders will
have to be careful in the future topic of the Syrian Muslim brotherhood.
But, if these leaders have had the vision to deal with the
FSA in the near future, then they are probably well underway formatting a plan
to deal with the Syrian Muslim brotherhood.
Jabhat al-Nusra is exactly what this author claims it could
be; a hybrid\Phoenix\that could prove far more effective in the region than
many are giving it credit for.
It took years of conflict with the Soviet
Union for the Taliban to shape itself into a refined operation.
Out of the ashes of Syria comes the Phoenix???
I bet the GCC and the MB are praying it's just a myth!!!
It could very well be we are witnessing the "Taliban"
of Syria
growing into a major player right before our very eyes.
We shall see!
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/security/2013/01/jabhat-al-nusras-goals-extend-beyond-syria.html