PUTIN AND AHMADINEJAD MEETING? WHAT'S THE REAL REASON?
Ok, most of us can buy the concept of these two meeting to
talk about Iran's nuclear program, given the next round of talks are in Moscow
and we all know the Tsar would love to get the limelight for solving the issue.
The problem is, this is not the most pressing issue for
ether of them, at least not right now!
Assad's two biggest supporters are going to meet?
How does anyone think for
minute this meeting will not start with a discussion on Syria ?
So, what might these two say about Assad and the crisis?
Let's look at this question from the Russian viewpoint
first.
The court of world opinion is getting worse and worse for Russia over the
Syrian issue and several compromises have already been floated past the
Russians to see if they may change their support for Assad.
Having "key" players telling the Russians their
port capabilities in Syria are not going to go away, to include this message
coming from the Free Syrian Council itself, is a important event.
A few months ago, the
Russia
made it known they were worried at the strategic level over the possible loss
of this facility.
If the world has taken this concern off the table for the
Russians, then moving to yet another "concern" would give the appearance
of stonewalling.
Moving on to the issue of Russian arms sales to Syria .
When this became Russia additional "concern", it
was somewhat neutralized by most of the
world quietly accepting weapons movements based on old, existing contracts
signed before the rebellion and centered around weapon systems that not typical
of what Syria is using against it's own people.
Short answer, "Ok Russia .. we agree you can continue
to make money selling arms.. Now what"?
Then the Russian came up with, in my opinion, their best
logical answer for their noncompliance with the UN.
The danger of a larger, regional war.... a sectarian war!
This was their best answer and it should have been their
only answer all along!
Having said that, here is the rebuttal they should hear from
the UN.
" With your help Mr Putin, we stand a chance of
preventing a wider, sectarian conflict, but without your help, it is nearly impossible".
Yes... You have to stoke the Tsar's ego!
Does anyone possibly believe the ex Director of the KGB, and
a good one at that, doesn't know how to manipulate other groups?
Does anyone think Putin can't find a way to " strike a
deal" with the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood?
He is easily on of
the best "Manipulators" the world has seen in the past 50 years.
Now, here is my point!
If we, the world, find a way to get Putin on board, then
Putin will have the challenge of putting Iran in it's place.
Will the fanatical Iranian leadership listen to the Tsar...
an Infidel?
Probably not!
When Putin offers the Iranians a "deal", it will
most likely be a " take it or leave it" event.
If the world can get Putin to change his mind and more
importantly his ego, the thing I think is really in the way right now, then
"deals" can be made and a full blown disaster may be avoided.
My warning on this approach!
As I stated above and like I have been saying for months
now, Iran can't survive
without Syria ,
Lebanese Hezbollah and Hamas.
What does Putin offer them to walk away from Assad?
More importantly, what does he offer Iran the rest
of the world can live with?
If Iran
doesn't "make the deal", then Putin will make a fortune of the
regional war!!
Oil at 150 a barrel!!!
This is like asking a Rattle Snake to strike a deal with a
Cobra!!
In the end, we will most likely get bit!!!!
