IRAN’S NEXT ROUND OF CASUALTIES:
It’s been a few days, but here is the
short version of what is taking place with Iran. It appears the so called
widening rift between Moscow and Tehran is growing, as if there was ever some
Bromance going on. Israel seems to have informed Moscow an Iranian, Hezbollah
combat force anywhere near the Israeli border is a legitimate target. Moscow believes
the Israelis are uncompromising on this point. Moscow makes the statement, “ All
forces should leave Syria”. The attempt there to address the US issue. Problem
is, that issue has already been addressed and the compromise has been made between
the US and Russia. Therefore, the statement was made for the government of Syria.
Problem. Tehran doesn’t agree and they have grown tired of Moscow acting as if
they will determine the future of Syria. No Bromance there! Next comes the
issue of the Iranian forces not doing as Moscow stated. Did Moscow really think
they would? No. Does that open the door for Moscow not supporting them when the
IDF strikes them? Yes, why do you think the statement was made. CYA, that’s
why. Now, Tehran may be delusional, they may think their forces in Syria can
protect themselves, but the Iranian military commanders know better. The bodies
being flown back to Iran are proof enough. So, do you order the units to move
away from the border or do you put on Syrian uniforms? Problem. The IDF
knows this trick and that won’t save the Iranian units. Whose Idea was that,
not a military commander’s. Now, the next phase of the problem comes up. The
IDF is reported to be building forces along the Syrian border near Quneitra.
Buildup? Maybe. For weeks now, the story has been the building Iranian, Hezbollah
footprint in the same area. Why would the Syrian government announce this IDF “buildup”?
Is it to justify attacking it? That would be insane. The attempt is to once
again, place the aggressive blame on Israel. Again, the next part of the
problem. Israel doesn’t care if an aggressive label is placed on them. If they
move to neutralize the Iranian threat in that region, then that is exactly what
they will do. The next phase of the problem,
from the viewpoint of Tehran, is the fact that if Israel moves on the Quneitra
area, the US will back them every step of the way. With military support? No.
they don’t need to. The IDF doesn’t need the US’s help in crushing Iranian
units in Syria. Oh, and by the way, they don’t need NATO’s help ether. What a
stupid statement that was, but that’s another story. So Boys and Girls, here is
the scorecard. Iran is on the brink of once again getting its assets in Syrian
crushed by the IDF and once again, Moscow will sit back and watch. Resupply, it’s
a lucrative business in the Middle East.
Well, there you have it. The
simplistic version of this weeks tension between Israel and Iran….oh ya….and
Moscow!
The IDF needs to drop leaflets on the Quneitra area that say
only one thing. “ RUN”!