Friday, May 4, 2012

















JORDAN??? WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

Jordan's King Abdullah has been like a firefighter in a wind storm for the past year.

His efforts to keep the lid on "issues" in Jordan have been truly been a daunting task.

The Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood has had it's eye on the countries leadership from the very beginning of the Arab Spring.

Why is this such a potential issue for the West and particularly the U.S?

Simple, the most " off the radar" partner the West and the US have had since the morning of September 11th 2001 has been Jordan.

All parties involved have done a better than average job of keeping this " partnership / alliance / form being too well known.

I can personally state that the West and the US have no better ally in the Middle East than King Abdullah.

He has always understood this relationship was not to his advantage out in the open public and he has worked hared to keep just the right level of quiet balance.

Here is the problem; those that wish to take power in Jordan know just how close this relationship really is.

From day one of the Arab Spring, King Abdullah has been placed in the category of
 " Monarch Friend of the West".

King Abdullah's struggles to keep the lid on the Jordanian public has become an every increasing impossibility.

Stacked on top of this fact is the reality the US could very well chose to abandon him as soon as the first street protest turns truly violent.

He watched Egypt and Libya virtually holding his breath.

He listen and talked to Saudi and the GCC on the topic of the US walking away from long time friendships... Remember the discussions of Jordan joining the GCC?

The King finds himself in a very....very... .dangerous position with little expectation of support from the West.

The Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood and other enemies of Jordan... Iran... know all too well the formula for " Abandonment" is based on civilian bloodshed.

The region has two new targets... Jordan and Bahrain.

Not new in the sense of trouble, but new in terms of commitments to cause trouble.

What is truly fascinating is who is set to cause this trouble.

The Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood.. the same Brotherhood who is out to bring down the Government in Syria... Sunni..   and Iran.. the government hell bent to keep the government of Syria in power.

Confusing????

Yes!!

That is the Middle East!