BOMBS IN LEBANON AND PHONES IN SYRIA!

Here are two interesting articles that are worth talking about.

The attack in Lebanon today has a simple question attached to it.

Who is behind it?

You can roundup the usual list of suspects, but the timing is what makes this event important.

Tensions are high in Lebanon and the art of executing an event knowing someone else will take the blame is a common event in the Middle East.

The type of device and the way it is detonated is typically a good “clue” as to who might be the perpetrator; but again, I mention the concept of setting up some other organization by mimicking their typical actions. 

So, let’s look at the next logical question?

Why?

If you go with the conspiracy, ‘setup’ concept mentioned above, then you may want to look at who would benefit from pushing Lebanon into violence.

            The MB? 

            I don’t buy that one.

            They have their hands full with Syria and Egypt.

            AQ or those that ‘look just like AQ’ ?

If you accept the event is just an unrelated act in the line of a continuation of  the ‘resistance’  towards the UN in Lebanon.

            I’m placing my bet with this theory.

            The device and the way it was detonated are the key clues to the story.

            Why not Hezbollah?

Most believe, including me, Hezbollah is trying to keep a lid on the violence in Lebanon right now based on the guidance from Iran and Assad.

Now, I know I’ve been in the camp of Iran promoting ‘distractions’ to get the pressure off of Syria, but this in not the model they would be looking for.

A complex list of other reasons why this event doesn’t have Hezbollah strings attached could be discussed, but there really is no need.

Yet, if someone wakes me up and tells me Hezbollah did have a hand in this event, it’s a very….very…. bad sign.

If someone comes to me and makes the argument, “ Hezbollah is so worried about the STL, they sent a ‘warning shot’ to the UN.

I don’t buy it, but I sure don’t want to hear this theory pop up.

We are heading for bad times in Lebanon sooner than  I thought if Hezbollah was involved.

Cell phones and radio stations:

The discussion of cell phones being provided to the Syrian resistance movement is a sideshow based upon old comments the US made about Libya several months ago.

                                                                                                             

If the story is true, and it probably has some level of truth to it, so what?

99.9 percent of the people in the US and Europe and even the Middle East won’t give a hoot.

Who will?

Yep… IRAN!!!! Oh.. and the lapdog Assad.

The interesting issue is, even if the story is not accurate, the Iranians and Assad are so paranoid, they will believe it.

They have the technology to disrupt the equipment…. Well… maybe.. 

If  I was a betting man, when the two stories were briefed to the lapdog and Iran, I bet the part about a radio station supported by Saudi received  the lion’s share of the reaction.

When you take these two events and stack them on top of each other, you have a very aggravated Iranian Master and an increasingly confused Assad.

Here comes the question that continues to have the most sought after answer for all the Middle East….. What does Iran do about it?

At what point in time does Iran decide ‘ enough is enough’?

Don’t get me wrong; it’s a good thing to provide support to Syrian resistance.

Everyone just needs  to remember that actions based on looking good in the media or at the UN could very well have reactions that are not fully anticipated.

It’s about time everyone review the age old, “ Law of Unintended Consequences” .

I have mentioned  this "law" in the past, but a reminder right  about now is a good thing!

P.S… Notice the typical Saudi ‘disclaimer’ about not being able to account for all the actions of its citizens. … With the exception of Women drivers!!