SYRIAN FUEL AND LEBANON :
Ok, the issue of fuel status for the Syrian government and
more importantly the Syrian Military has been discussed for months now, but the
issue is becoming more and more visible.
Overland movements from Iraq
are limited and even more difficult from Iran .
Overland movements from Lebanon have been taking place for
some time now, but with the increased awareness of these movements has come the
attempts to stop them.
What fuel can be moved by sea is the bulk issue and it is
not out of the question these operations could become targets soon.
A simple law of warfare is taking place here... stop the
ability of your enemy to maneuver and then simply move around them.
If the Syrian military takes priority for what processed
fuel is left in Syria ,
remember the Rebels now own several key fuel facilities, those who are left
supporting Assad can only interpret this as yet another sign of the pending
doom at their doorstep.
Fuel is a critical issue for Assad and his military and the
ability to supply him with enough fuel, especially aviation fuel, is a critical
matter for Iran and Russia .
What flags fly on the ships that bring bulk fuel into the
ports may be the only thing that is saving these facilities from coming under
attack, but this protection may not last much longer.
The ability to slip into a port facility is not that
difficult and the dramatic scene such an attack would create is more than enticing
to the rebels.
It's simple to understand; fuel is becoming an issue that
everyone anticipated it would become at some point in time.
Life is no longer "normal" even in downtown Damascus and the
rationing of fuel is just another in a series of crushing blows to the Assad
Regime.
A Land movement of diesel from Lebanon is critical to the Syrian
Military and Hezbollah knows the pressure is on them to insure these movements
can continue.
Bottom line; the fuel issue in Syria
is a match ready to be struck in Lebanon .