SO WHAT IS ASSAD REALLY UP TO AND WHO TO BLAME??
Two days ago my conversation revolved around the possibility
of Assad actually releasing WMDs inside Syria .
After listening to
all the buzz over this crisis, I think it is worthy of validating why Assad may
be about to take such a hazardous action.
I've heard some really... really... "out of the
box" theories in the past two days, but I've heard no one comment on the
Iranian link to Assad's actions.
Everyone knows Iran
is propping up Assad and his forces and most of us assume Iran is the
very first government Assad would inform of his possible intentions; it might
be the only government he intends to consult.
If you start the analysis from the stance that Iran
would give it's backing before such an event could take place, then all the
other, "why is he doing this.... is he really going to do this... doesn't
he understand what it will mean to him".. and so on and so on... is truly irrelevant.
Would he strike out on his own without Iranian support?
The bigger question is, could he?
Does anyone who knows what is going on in Syria right now truly believe Iran is not watching over if not outright
controlling WMD operations in Syria ?
Look... you can toss out the theory of, "he's bluffing
to gain negotiation points for his departure.
Assad has no place to go, not after what his government and
his henchmen have done to the innocent people of Syria .
Not even other wacky dictators such as Chavez will touch Assad.. you watch!!!
So, back to why....
Does Assad believe he has nothing to lose at this point?
The SAMS in the hands of the rebels... the inability to
control Damascus ?
If the Iranians didn't want him to bring the reaction that
is currently taking place in the rest of the world, then he would have never
been allowed to mix the chemicals.
Side note: Is it
significant that the talk is of Sarin Gas, and not VX?
VX.. a much more persistent agent that is fare more deadly
than Sarin.. why not it?
Because he couldn't get permission that's why!!!!
Ok, I think you are catching on to my overall point here.
If we want to understand, predict what Assad is going to do,
we need to look to Tehran !
If Iran
doesn't want a WMD event to take place in Syria , it will simply not allow one
to take place.
If they think Assad has lost his mind, then his troops would
not be allowed to come close to mixing the agents.
If they think Asssad has gone, "rouge" on them,
then he is going to wake up DEAD.. soon!!!
Simply put; if a WMD event takes place in Syria ... look to Tehran
for the blame and look to Tehran
right now to make sure one doesn't happen.
I don't know why this is not the conversation with the so
called experts, but I have to believe the Department of State and other nations
know exactly who to talk to right now.
I bet the Israeli leadership knows who to place the blame
on, and lets see who says it first!!