ASSAD IS NOW BACKED INTO A PHYSICAL CORNER!!!
Well,
if the panic mode inside the Assad regime was not high enough, it just
got
much worse.
Besides
panic, it is now personal for Asssad. His Brother-in-law was killed.
A few
issues that make this event more than just significant and exciting
for
the media to cover.
1. The Brigade of Islam quickly took credit for
the attack; a group that
is
perceived as a arm of Islamic / AQ/
radical movement.
The link between such organizations and the
FSA, rebel movement, has
been
talked about for months, but this will make the issue bowel to the top.
2. It's very clear now this campaign has been
very well planned and it's
possible
the "infiltration" concept is a key aspect of the Damascus attack.
3. The total loss of confidence of internal
security operations, is an
overwhelming
issue for Assad's inner circle. What
Guard or groups of Guards
do
you "really" trust?
The supporters of Assad, who are in
Damascus, must be trying everything
in
their power to get out of the city.
How would you like to be a Sunni, after
the fall of Assad, who is found
by
the Rebels to have supported Assad?
I can guarantee you, someone has as
"list" of names / families /
associates,
even if it's built on speculation.
4. The battle in Damascus is very possibly a
killing blow to the Syrian
economy.
Who
is trading in Damascus in the past three days?
What
business are open?
If
you are an Assad supporter and you have no confidence who is walking the
streets
of Damascus right now, how do you open the doors to your business?
5. What is Iran thinking right now?
Does this event drive a wedge between the
Iranian advisors to Assad and
the
Syrian military leaders?
Did Iran lose KIA / WIA / in the bomb
blast? ( Don't trust the Syrian
news
for the actual body count.)
6. How many Russians are in Damascus and what is
Russia's plan to get them
out?
Perhaps the Navel flotilla is actually a
NEO / Noncombatant Evacuation /
mission?
What
does Assad need to do?
First and foremost, he has to show he controls
Damascus or has the ability
to
stop the assault and he has to do this without destroying the capital of
Syria!
It is and it will continue to be virtually
impossible to control the
streets
of the city without a curfew!
Without one, at least in the sections of the
city where the fighting is
taking
place and that appears to be just about anywhere now, Assad's forces
will
have no idea who is just out walking and
who is "scouting".
The
problem becomes the impact of a curfew.
It is
equivalent to admitting the city, the capital, is under siege.
The
perception of advantage goes completely to the rebels.
What
might the result of this event be?
Assad
stands the chance of actually losing this conflict.
The
spread of panic can lead to an uncontrollable climate in the entire
city.
With the loss of his Brother- in-law, Assad
now has anger, blood revenge,
on
his mind more than ever.
Striking
back while he still can is quickly becoming his only option.
Homs
or other rebel strongholds are in great danger.
If
Assad was ever going to utilize his full military capacity, it will be
now.
He
can't fight a Tank and Fighter / Bomber campaign in Damascus, well..
maybe
tanks, but he can turn lose his entire arsenal as a revenge event.
Homs
is a logical target.
Assad
is now a very illogical person.
The
rest of the bad news comes from the rebels.
As I
said yesterday, it's one thing for young men to get caught up in the
"glory"
of shooting and fighting, it's far more complex to understand when
to
stop killing and fighting.
Do
the rebels, FSA, have an " endgame" ?
What
is the plan if Damascus really was to fall within the next few days?
Might
last question and the one I always come back to.
What
will the Tsar do and what will Iran do?
Was
the bombing of the bus in Bulgaria simply a coincidence?
Remember
my theory of Iran's "Red Line" for Syria.
If
Assad falls, so does Hezbollah in Lebanon and so do the dreams / plans of the
Persian Empire.
other-in-law-and-top-Syrian-officials-killed-in-Damascus-suicide-bomb.html
