RUSSIA THE WEST AND CONFLICT IN THE UKRAINE?
So, last night I mentioned what might take place that could
push Russian Commanders over the edge and force them into “old style” conflict…
an event that would bring world condemnation down all around them and the Tsar.
How would you like to be the military commander who promised
a “new” way of waging conflict and then have to resort to the same old rut… and
you made this promise to the Tsar?
Now, let’s not fool ourselves.
Is there anyone in the West ready to take the events in the
Ukraine to such a level?
No!
Are there those who are capable?
Oh yes!
For the past several days I’ve made repeated statements
about the false impression scripted military exercise can create.
So, this time around, for the sake of argument, let me take
a shot at how the Russian master plan for the Ukraine could be countered; admittedly
with a large degree of risk!
Now, the topic of cyber warfare has been just about worn out
by every so called “expert” over the past ten years.
Contracting firms have made millions terrorizing government
agencies with “cyber tabletop exercise” over the past few years, but the fact
of the matter is, most people simply don’t understand what could happen and in
reality what will someday actually take place.
All right; let’s get down to it.
Time for the What If” game!!!!!
What if:
What if a Western Nation…let’s call them the Nation of “Blue”…
for those of you who ever played the old Cold War Exercise game, you know the
reason why the nations are named after colors and not actual nation names.
All right…. The Nation of Blue decides it’s going to attempt
to foil the perception of peace loving Tsar, who is simply out to protect the poor
Russian sympathizers in the Ukraine.
The limitations for the operation are these.
No kinetic weaponry support to the Kiev government.
No loss of civilian life in Ukraine can be a result of any
Nation of Blue’s actions.
Absolutely trace can be linked back to the Nation of Blue?
Based upon these restrictions, the Nation of Blue planners,
not just military planners, come up with the following actions.
- Disruption of communications of Russian
Special Units operating in Ukraine.
- Not just disruption, but
the capture of information that proves beyond a shadow of a doubt as to
Russian involvement.
i. Think
in terms of what President Kennedy authorized during the Cuban Missile Crisis
when it came to showing the world classified information… yes the President /
Commander in Chief / has the authority to do such a thing.
- Disruption of vital
information required to execute operational support missions.
- Who insures the
disruption units operating in Ukraine have what they need and keeps it
functional?
- What happens when a
supply movement shows up at the wrong location or doesn’t show up at all?
- What happens when emails
providing, where to be.. Who to meet and what needs to take place are not
from the person they are supposed to be from?
i. Once
burned, how do you regain trust in electronic communications?
- What happens when
notification of KIA reach families back in Russia when no Russian troops
are reported to be in the Ukraine
and by the way.. these troops were not KIA, but their families are told
they are…. Ah yes… facial recognition software… ever wonder why everyone
is wearing ski mask on the Russian side of the event?
- GPS data that is wrong?
- Does anyone remember
certain events in the Serbian conflict?
i. Ask
the Chinese!
- YouTube clips that show
Russian patches on unit members fighting in the streets of Eastern Ukraine
and then a voice in the background of a cell phone call … to a number that
has a history in the past few hours of being used in the same area, in a
very non Ukraine accent, “check your members uniforms”…
Ok, I think you get my point by now.
The 21st century form of warfare can be deadly politically,
economically without ever firing a kinetic shot!
The Russians played this game to a very simpleton degree in
the Georgian conflict.
What the West can do is light-years ahead of what the Tsar
showcased in Georgia and even then, his military leaders reverted to what the
trust… guns…. Tanks… fighters.
Can a campaign be waged against the Tsar over Ukraine
without firing a kinetic shot?
Yes.
Can it change the course of the event?
Yes.
Would this drive the Russian military senior leaders back
into the only world they truly trust?
Yes!
Does the West have the resolve to take this measure?
No…and that is why. When it’s all said and done, the Tsar
will have things more his way than not!
To lash out in anger over being made to look a fool is a
real danger with an egomaniac like Putin, but that cannot happen when the West simply
will not use the tools that no one else in the world has… not like the West
does… not even the Dragon.. but the Dragon learns at a speed that dictates that
soon the world will see such an event and the Dragon will arrive on the world
stage as the new master of world leadership!