IN DAMASCUS FOR " A PILGRIMAGE"???? GIVE ME A
BREAK!!!!
About two months ago, I spoke of the significance if the
rebels in Syria could prove Iranian support to Assad.
Well.. I think they have achieved that goal and then some.
Now, looking at this group the rebels have, it's clear these
are not your stereo typical ground combat troops of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Force.
It could be some of the cover story was moving these members
in and out of the area of operation with "others" mixed in; a tactic
many countries employ.
My bet is the Iranian Military members are "technical
member" perhaps specialist in some area that Assad's forces are lacking
and not real combatants.
Oh ya; I feel sorry for the poor guy who had his military ID
on him.
You can bet one of the ground rules for this support
operation in Syria is absolutely no ID on your body that shows who you are
with.
Now, the have baked story of these retires being on "
Pilgrimage".. well... that was what I would consider a really poor, knee-jerk
response by Iran to their members being caught
with IDs on them.
Here is the fact of the matter.
The rebels needed to prove Assad was getting help from Iran
to justify receiving help from "others".
Iran's argument, one they made again today in a most pathetic
manner, the people of Syria must decide the future of their nation completely
went out the window with the capture of these Iranian military members.
As for what they were doing, you can bet the rebels will
find out and have probably already done so in a most brutal manner.
The statement that three of the "captives" /
notice they didn't call them " hostages", "captives invokes the
fact they are combatants, were killed is a sign the rest are singing like song
birds by now.
Whatever the mission of these men was, the rebels know it
now.
The question becomes, who do they tell the information to
and how do the rebels exploit the confessions?
I can think of a few "agencies" that would love to
know what these members had to confess!
Ok, the bottom line here is this.
This event is a disaster for Iran at a time when Iran can
afford no additional disasters!
Saudi and the GCC will exploit this event to the fullest
extent possible.
Backroom discussions on support to the rebels now becomes an
unwinnable argument for those still opposed to the concept.
Revenge is a option Iran may be thinking of, but revenge in
what fashion?
The one thing Iran had going for it as this crisis was
unfolding was the attack in the Sinai.
That attack was an example of "control" and the
battle that is pending between the MB and more radical elements of the Sunni
faith.
Leverage is something Iran has very little of and perhaps
this event in the Sinai can allow Iran to keep the focus on other events while
they desperately try to figure their way
out of the hostage event.
Someone in Iran will take the heat for this debacle in Syria
and it will not be Soleimani.
He is a favored Son in Iran.
Someone will take the blame and lets see who it will be.
The blame game will only make maters worse in Iran and Iran can't
take more bad news.
