ALEPPO…. “ WHAT IS JERUSALEM WORTH”?
Three years ago, I commented, at the beginning for the
battle of Alleppo, Alleppo would be the Center of Gravity for the Rebels.
Well, who were the “rebels” three years ago and who are the “rebels”
now no longer resembles the beginning.
Is Assad supporting Sunni, Fundamentalist Radicals…. The same
ones he has battled for three years?
Was Assad able to divide the “enemy” to the point they spend
as much energy killing each other as they spend fighting Assad and his Allies?
Did Assad truly figure out how to make this happen?
Of course not!
His Father could have pulled this off, but not the Eye
Doctor or his Brother.
You can thank the Iranian CUD force for turning the tide of
the Sunni factions.
It’s a process the Iranians perfected prior to Syria and it
simply took a little bit of time to make it work.
Now, as for Aleppo; it’s the prize the Assad Team wants desperately.
Not because it’s a function city, it may never be that
again.
It’s the symbol that makes it the “prize”!
It’s the city the Assad team would never retake!
So, what has changed?
Is the fall of Aleppo truly the end of the Sunni rebellion?
Are the “Rebels” whomever that may be now, read to call it
quits?
As I stated about the situation with the city of Homs, the
will to persevere must reside in more than just the minds of the Old Religious
Leaders who sit and sip their Tea all day talking about what is at stake.
Rebellions have a Life Cycle and the cycle in Syria has is
no different that the thousands of other rebellions over the history of man!
Yes, the 21st century Pandora’s Box called the
world wide web…. Social media has changed how conflicts are perceived,
supported and then unsupported.
You see, it still takes young men willing to not only
destroy their futures, but give up their lives for perhaps a 100 yrds of rubble
that may be held for a day or less.
After three years of dying and an Enemy that seems embolden
to take travesties to the next level, the population of these “young men” may
be about spent.
Let me assure you, Assad, through the networks of Iran and
the Tsar, know exactly how many new fighters are moving into Syria.
If that number is falling, then once again, the old BB King
song may apply….”The Thrill is Gone”!
I cannot sit here tonight and tell you the “Tide” has turned
or is about to turn.
I’m not willing to predict the fall of Aleppo.. the truth
is, like Homs, Aleppo ceased being a “city” nearly three years ago.
Aleppo is not the strategic goal of the Assad Team.
Assad doesn’t get to make that call… he’s an Eye Doctor who
inherited a Cold War process that is far too complicated for his brain.
This may not be the end for the Rebels.
Fighting may take place for years to come at a much lower
level; just think in terms of what is taking place in Iraq right now.
What I do know is this….. The fate of Syria does not rest in
the hands of the West!
It does not rest in the hands of the Arab League.
Syria is tool… a tool
of the Persians and the Tsar.
Who sets the tone for the foreseeable future in the Middle
East is no longer an issue for the West to control.
Those days are gone… Into the pages of history… like
thousands of other events in the region.
Aleppo:
In the movie “ Kingdom of Heaven”, there is a wonderful
scene where Balian of Ibelin ask Saladin, “what is Jerusalem worth?”…. Saladin
answers, “nothing”. Then as he walks away he turns and clinches his fist with
the answer of, “Everything”!!!
