DID ASSAD  AND IRAN JUST OPEN A SECOND FRONT?

A month ago or so, some of us asked the question, would Tehran risk utilizing Hezbollah's limited resources to open a second front on the Syrian Rebels?

The events of the past two weeks and especially the past few days, may have provided us with our answer.

Al-Qusair appears to be the Hezbollah priority of effort and at the tactical level that constitutes a "second front" for the Sunni fighters in Syria.

Drawing resources away from what Assad and Tehran truly believed was the concentrated effort to take Damascus that was and is now the objective.

The threat of drawing Lebanon into the conflict are no longer just words, but most likely a actual, strategic decision being considered.

Here is the problem with that concept; it will not be decided by the Lame Duck Government sitting inside of Turkey.

The decision will most likely be made by al-Nusra, much to the anguish of the so called Syrian Provisional government or whatever they call themselves.

What is even more dangerous is the fact that Lebanon has a limited ability to prevent this from happening.

Salafist Sheikh Ahmad AssirSyria

Lebanon

The odds are better than 50. 50 they will.

As important as this issue is to the overall status of the region, it is even more worrisome that Iran has already contemplated this play.

Prior to placing Hezbollah nearly at the forefront to turn the tide of battle, Tehran had to weigh the possible impacts of such an open engagement with it's number one proxy fighter.

This brings about the next important question.

What next?

What does Iran expect from the open placement of Hezbollah?

One thing is for sure; if this is Iran's version of "Brinkmanship" I pray they are willing to limit the extent of the action that may come.

The road to war may be about to get much wider!!!