WHAT WILL FRIDAY BRING?

Rumors of defections inside the Syrian military continue to make there way to the media.

Add to this the ever increasing evidence of sectarian violence  and Friday’s typical spike in public revolt and you have a recipe for above average violence in the next 24 hrs.

So, are there any real changes in Syria that are worth talking about?

Yes.

The idea that verified sectarian violence is starting to take place is a real change from the past four months.

The prospect of such violence is far more unsettling to Assad and Iran than to the common outside observer.

Most of the violence that has taken place in Syria has been Assad forces on public protestors.

This week’s violence between, ‘groups’ is a shift that has long been considered a key indicator of a devolving   environment.

From Assad’s perspective, it is and has been critical to keep the rest of the world from believing the situation is getting out of control.

Reluctance to take coordinated action against the Syrian government is a political reality that Assad has benefited from.

A key sign the world may be approaching a point of not being able to deal with events in Syria with simple words or weak-kneed sanctions is exactly what started to take place in the past week.

It’s one thing for the government forces to reap death and destruction on the Syrian public, but when the public starts to deal such actions on itself, it’s a true sign to the rest of the world the Syrian government has lost control.

Friday may not be a day of ‘group on group’ violence.

The public may be preoccupied with the military and ‘Thugs’ trying to kill them.

But, when the military and ‘Thugs’ have departed, does the public begin to take revenge on it’s own population?

If this is truly what is starting to happen in Syria, then Civil War, the fear everyone has had, could become a reality.