THE UNITED STATES OPENLY STEPS INTO THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR!

If The Donald showed one thing yesterday, it’s that doing a bunch of talking and press soundbites before you hit someone militarily is not his style. Yes, he gave a few statements along with his staff, but the amount of blustering and warnings in the Obama Presidency would have lasted  weeks and telegraphed just about everything that might take place. By the way, it was interesting how Hillary suddenly popped on the radar yesterday and gave his military professional opinion on what targets should be hit. Now that is timing, or, someone tipped her!  Team Trump Needs to look at the list of who knew the strikes were coming as it appears the issue of leaks are still is a very real problem. Hillary….trying to look Presidential? Something else going on there.  Now, let me get another topic out of the way so we can get down to the real issues from this event. Yes, the US “talked” to the Russians. If you want to avoid collateral damage that might make it even more difficult for the Tsar to respond to, let the world get out a few Russian military members will killed in the strike. How long did the Russians have to move their people, the bet is not very long and short enough to keep them from telling the Syrians so they could get ready. It wouldn’t have mattered because putting aircraft in the so called “hardened” hangers is a waste of time now days. The only thing that got the Syrians was a bunch of destroyed aircraft covered in concreate. Anyway, yes, the Russians knew the strike was coming, but only one person of all the talking heads I listened to last night made the correct comment. A young reporter for CNN, reporting from overseas, perhaps Moscow, made the comment about the SA 400 system. He simply asked, “How did the missiles get passed the SA 400”? BANG…. He was the only one, to include a large list of retired Generals and Colonials, who asked the right question. The question that leads to what is taking place here. Why the Russians would allow 59 US missiles to penetrate the airspace of Syria, airspace they had let the world know they now controlled with their incredibly advanced SA 400 system, is the key to what is taking place here.  The picture they painted was, “Don’t even try to get passed this weapon system”! So what happened? How did a nation that has the ability to detect launches from naval vessels watch nearly sixty slow moving weapons and then allow them to strike a target? Just what amount of information was exchanged with the Russians prior to the attack?  But, that is just one tantalizing question, the one I have more interest in is how the government of Syria responds to the Russians allowing the attack to take place and who will take advantage of the anger the Syrian government will have over the Russians once again letting an enemy attack Syrian targets. Yes. I said once again. Don’t forget the numerous Israeli attacks to include in and around Damascus.  

What we know:

As I said yesterday, let’s look at this event as if we are trying to solve a mystery and not waste time on watching the talking heads get paid on cable news today..

1.      The US informed the Russians the strike was coming.

2.      The Meeting between the Dragon and The Donald started nearly at the same time as the attack. North Korea inters the equation here.

3.      The US openly accused the Russians of knowing the Syrian aircraft dropped the chemical bomb with the word, “complacence” used. Something I will cover in a few minutes.

4.      The Iranians are not happy with the fate of Syria being decided by the US and Russia and to some extent Turkey.

5.      There is no love between Iran and Russia, just an uneasy alliance.

6.      The Russians had the ability to interdict the inbound missiles and it seems the chose not to.

7.      The Assad government is wondering why the Russians didn’t lift a finger to stop the attack, or perhaps even inform them it was coming.

8.      The Donald has sent a clear message about the use of chemical weapons to the rest of the world……..well….. maybe!

9.      The discussion of the Bromance between the Tsar and Trump has been knocked off the table. Unless, the “informing” message was more complex than we know.

10.   It’s real hard for the anti-Trump team to blast him over attacking baby killers. But, that won’t stop them, just delay the game a day or two.

Actually, I could go on and on, but the more important part of this story will come to light over the next few days. As a good friend of mine always says, “you have to wait for the next move to understand the first”.

The “IF” game:

I’ve not played this one in a while, but now is the time.

What if the Russians really did know the Syrian government was going to use chemical weapons, again, on civilian areas? Did the Russians miscalculate The Donald’s response? Did they think his statement of last week was a capitulation on Assad? I don’t but that one.

What if the Russians didn’t know the attack was going to take place? What if the team at that airfield allowed the upload of such a weapon to go unnoticed? Could the Syrian Airforce get such a weapon out of storage, prepare it, then move it to the flight line, upload it and launch a mission without the Russian team catching on? You would hope not, but just how attentive was the Russian detachment? Would this not mean the mission took place without Russian approval?

What if the Russians were so upset with the chemical attack, they allowed the US strike to take place? Perhaps that notification process was a two way street?

What if the Assad government acted in conjunction with their closest supporter, the Persians? Yep, my hypothesis from yesterday.

What if the Tsar is quietly more upset with Assad and the Iranians than he is with the actions of the US? Remember, he can’t show a crack in the so called Alliance!

What if the actions of the Syrian government have now boxed in the Tsar? He can’t look weak and he can’t admit he knew about the attack.

Where is this all going?

Yesterday marked a new day in Russian / US relations. Was it a deliberate event on the part of the US or Russia to weaken an already stressed relationship? I don’t think so. The Donald and the Tsar will figure this one out and the common theme will be, “how did this happen? Who is responsible? If my hunch about the Persians is correct, I would bet the ultimate price will be paid in Tehran.

If I’m wrong, and a few of the idiots in DC are correct. If the Russians did have prior knowledge of this event, then the entire theory of a Bromance was never on the table to begin with. If the Tsar was planning on making The Donald look like a fool for reaching out to him, then this is the first move in a very……very….. dangerous moment in history. If The Donald has been played for a sucker, along with the Democrats who are still hysterical about Trump’s “relationship” with the Tsar, then the world is heading down a scary path.

My advice to the Tsar, blame the Iranians. Give yourself an out before this gets way out of hand. The Persians are nothing more than a puppet on a string to the Tsar and that Puppet may have to go, even if they are not responsible.

Oh ya. Little Fat Guy in North Korea, take good notes! The Dragon may only tolerate you for so much longer as  well! 

The Puppets must not be allowed to dictate to the Puppet Masters!