WILL ASSAD PAY THE PRICE FOR IRAN'S ACTIONS?

Last night and in fact several times in the past two months I have mentioned the theory of Assad becoming the Saudi target in order to strike back at Iran.

Lets take a minute and review this topic given I truly believe this " theory" is quickly becoming reality.

What facts add up to from the Saudi viewpoint?

The Arab Spring:

  It's been a frightening issue from the very beginning with Saudi convinced Iran has tried and will continue to try to " weaoponize" the concept against the Gulf States.

All Saudi has to do is look to Bahrain and Yemen and  suddenly Iranian " plots" show up in every conversation.  ( Not far from the truth)

 The Assad Factor:

Saudi knows all too well how desperate Iran is over the Syrian issue.

Paranoia and desperation are dangers ingredients in the hands of a unstable government such as Iran.  This one keeps the Saudi leadership up at night!!! It's the "fuel" behind the Iranian plot against the Gulf States.

As I have said time and time again.... Iranian / Persian / dreams are all but dead with the loss of a buffer partner in Syria. 

Saudi leadership realizes the domino event in Lebanon if Assad falls.

The Palestinian Statehood issue:

Trying to keep this issue from blowing up at a time when Saudi and it's Gulf State partners don't need any additional events is a top priority for Saudi.

Knowing that, Iran fingerprints are virtually all over the issue and Saudi has to work daily to counter Iranian involvement on yet another issue that could end up in Saudi's backyard.

Turkey:

Anyone who thinks there is a pending love story between Iran and Turkey / Persia / Ottoman Empires in the making / is simply not a student of history.

Saudi's interaction with Turkey is a delicate balance between future Sunni / Muslim Brotherhood goals and Iranian reaction to the Brotherhood.

How does Saudi insure  a " Two Front" counter to Iranian desires in the Middle East..... Turkey!!!!  But.... Nothing in this world is free and the Ottomans' have their own visions for the region. A careful future game for the Saudi government.

So, in the game of Middle Eastern power struggles..... who has the advantage?

The issue is clearly becoming one  of  Persian ... Arab... Ottoman concepts with all three attempting to highjack  the Muslim Faith! Sound familiar ??? What's the old saying about History????

Ok, here is what I think the real advantage is..... MONEY!!!

If we look at the rhythm of the world right now, the undeniable fact is this..

A large part of the world is feeling left out...

The " Social Injustices" or "Economic Imbalances" make up a large part of the world perception right now.

Social Media and Social Networking is having an impact on daily world events far beyond what any Think Tank can possibly comprehend right now.

So, who has the advantage in the Middle East?

Saudi!!

Remember the " real" advantage .... MONEY...

Can Saudi buy it's problems to the point they don't happen?

I've been there when they have successfully made this happen even when I thought it was an outrageous concept.

Social unrest is the key weapon for Iran right now and Saudi can buy their way out of trouble.

Pushing the Peninsula Shield Forces, a concept I know well,  into Bahrain was not to send a message to the Shii of Saudi or Bahrain, but a warning to Iran itself.

Iran will not get the results it is looking for in Saudi by convincing a few Shii to take to the streets in the  Eastern part of the country... even with the help of Iranian instigators.

As soon as Iran realizes this is a flawed plan, the next step will have to be taken....

Violence and it will have to be somewhere rather than in the Eastern Part of Saudi..... hence the issue with Yemen...

Ok... it comes down to this... It's a race... 

Who strikes first?

The Saudi push on Assad or the Iranian plot in Yemen and Bahrain?

My bet is Assad is going to lose!

In typical Saudi style... the fingerprints will not belong to a Saudi.... but the money will!!!

"The Enemy of my Enemy".. It rules the Middle East....

Keep an eye on Turkey...

Keep an eye on Hamas ...

Assad sees Assassins all around him... if not physically.. politically ... and their paycheck is cashed in Riyadh!!!