ERDOGAN " EGODAN" ... FULL SPEED AHEAD.. JUST LIKE I
THOUGHT!!
Two nights ago I commented Egodan had a better than 50/ 50
chance of completely botching the act of de-escalation.
Well, I think I will move those odds to 90/10 now!
As we witnessed today, the talk of "outsiders" is
back in his vocabulary and that posses the question!
Is there any ounce of truth to what he is saying?
I would be the first to admit he has his share of
"outside" enemies, both ones he knows of and one's he may only
speculate over.
Would Assad and his Persian Masters love to see Turkey destabilized?
Most likely the answer is yes to some degree.
As has been the case since the start of the conflict in Syria ,
Assad welcomes anything that takes the attention off of his plight.
As for the Persians; with elections less than two weeks away
and the growing fear of civil unrest, the concept of the world watching the
streets of Istanbul burning while the Iranian Government Thugs beat their
people into voting the way they are expected to, well, that would be a welcomed outcome from Tehran's view.
Witnessing a Muslim Brotherhood supporting government like Egodan's
slipping a few notches would most likely bring a few smiles to the faces of the
GCC leadership.
With all of this said, does that equate into any of them actually
being responsible for the troubles in Turkey ?
Probably not!
That honor goes strictly to Egodan!
Here is the problem or should I say, here are the two
problems.
Perception!
That dirty little word I always seem to come back to when
talking about the Middle East .
Paranoia!
So, mix perception with paranoia and you have the makings a
Turkish meltdown.
Egodan's perception that his "enemies" are
drumming up this revolt for the sake of " keeping Turkey from achieving
their place in the world", can easily lead to his government taking
actions that ignite the real fires.
The ability of those around him, those few he actually trust,
to keep his level of paranoia from over fueling his "Perceptions" is
almost assuredly limited.
So, I go back to my point about the percentages of failure.
A level headed leader with strong listening skills could
find a way clear of this event, but then again, if Turkey had such a leader, they
would be in the pending crisis to start.
Finally:
Egodan has one thing in common with his old friend Assad.
He is praying for a distraction and perhaps a big one!
without a " distraction" closer and closer Egodan will head to the edge!!!
Funny.... now days... .so many leaders in the world always
seem to be looking for a "distraction".
