These
two articles, sent to me by a friend, point to a larger issue.
Has Syria turned
into a proxy event, just as some of us predicted?
Here
is why I believe this statement to be true:
It
appears Syria
is growing more important to the Gulf Arabs than it is to
the
people of Syria .
Let's
to the " assumption formula" and see what conclusion we might come up
with.
Let's
assume the Gulf states
/ GCC / have come to the realization the West,
mainly
the US , will not take action
against Iran ..
at least not until after
November
of this year... (Perception in the Middle East .)
Let's
assume the Gulf Arabs / GCC / now believe Israel cannot execute this
mission
without the support of the West. ( Again. Perception)
Let's
assume the Saudi Royal Family has determined the Sunni / Shia /
conflict
concept is a viable way to counter a pending Arab Spring event.
(Create
an outside threat.. classic Government 101).
Let's
assume the Gulf Arabs understand the value of strategically destroying
the
alliance between Syria and Iran ..
Let's
assume the Gulf Arabs comprehend the advantage of pulling Lebanon away
from Syria and Iran ; thus limiting Hezbollah!
Let's
assume the Gulf Arabs envision the Ottomans' having to take on the
brunt
of a "proxy" war with Iran ,
instead of Iran
fighting a "proxy" war
with Israel utilizing Gaza
and Lebanon .
Let's
assume the Sunni Arabs / Saudi / sees a post Iranian / Persian/ region
as a
excellent opportunity for "Sunni" dominance.
They
have come to these realizations because they continue to ponder the
potential
for an Arab Spring environment coming to their countries..
Something
Iran
would surly support... Just ask them!
The
point here is simple....
The
events in Syria seem no longer
to be an issue for the people of Syria .
Judging
the capabilities of the SNC or the FSA is not going to yield the
forecast
of what is going to take place in Syria .
Disorganized
leadership on the part of the Opposition is not a factor to the
Gulf
Arabs.
battleground
for Sunni / Shia / Arab / Persian/ Ottoman/
dominance of the
region.
The
real question becomes, does it become a campaign issue for the US ?
Banking
on holding off a war with Iran
until after November of 2012, may not
be
the road to success some believe it to be!
Wouldn't
I love to be inside the IDF planning cell right about now:)
