WHY CREATE THE ISRAELI " REDLINE"????
Off all the inputs I read and head today, one question was
never asked and it's the key question everyone should be contemplating!!!!
Why???
Why would Iran
openly supply a category of weapons to Hezbollah that everyone knows Israel will
never accept?
Why?
Well, since nobody asked the question today, let me try to
answer my own thought of the day.
Lets try several scenarios and see what one fits.
"DIDN'T BELIEVE THEY WOULD DO IT":
Yep, I will start with the most lunatic scenario first.
If Iran
didn't really believe Israel
would attack targets inside of Syria ,
then perhaps the third time is a charm.... Hint.. if need be there will be more
than a third time!!!
"GET THE WEAPONS INTO LEBANON
BEFORE THEY STRIKE AND THUS FORCE ISRAEL
TO ATTACK TARGETS INSIDE OF LEBANON ":
For this scenario to work, Iran
would have to once again grossly underestimate Israel 's ability to gather
targeting intelligence.
By now, I would be stunned if Iran
will still misjudging Israel 's
capabilities; capabilities Iran
is convinced the US
and the West is "supporting".
It is much easier to strike targets in Syria , politically, than to move on the weakened
government of Lebanon .......
a move the world would truly perceive as pushing Lebanon into a Civil War.
Simply put, Israel
is not going to take action against Lebanon unless it's forced to.
So, I don't buy this theory as well!!!
"KEEPING ISRAEL
OCCUPIED WITH EVENTS IN SYRIA
AND LEBANON BUYS IRAN
TIME":
Ok, this is the one worth talking about.
Why would Iran
openly push weapons that Israel
will not accept at a time when it seems Iran should be purely occupied with
saving the Assad regime?
It may just be as simple as this!
Ok, here is what is truly interesting about this "
concept".
If we assume Iran has taken this "distraction
tactic", one I have talked about in the past, then is it possible Iran
needs the events in Syria to
continue.........continue long enough to finalize a nuclear weapon's program?
Is this weapons shipment part of a delaying Master Plan?
That is my bet and its the only reason I can accept as to
why Iran
would do something as politically insain as sending Hezbollah tactical mid
range, mobile missiles... missiles they know full well will never make it into
conflict.
Finally, if I have come to this conclusion, then what "conclusion"
has Israel
come to?
If I was Iran ,
I would try hard to get out of the rut of underestimating Israel .
So, I chose "door number 3"....