SANCTIONS AND IRAN
In the past, I have been mentioned the curiosity level some
have over the concept of sanctions, specifically it comes to Iran .
Now, it's common knowledge the typical sanctions typically
keep nations from acquiring items other nations have convinced the free world
they should keep from them.
The question is not over the prevention of acquisition, but
the concept of punishment.
In a perfect world punishing a government by restricting
their ability to provide for its citizens is an option often chosen other than
open conflict.
The trouble arises when the sanctions are applied against
the government is not overly concerned as to the day-to-day welfare of the
citizens.
In the case of Iran ,
the Iranian leadership is well aware of the fact that a disgruntled public, at
this point in time, is a dangerous and slippery path into becoming yet another
nation in the Middle East in crisis.
So, the question becomes is the concept of sanctions against
Iranian government as a punishment tool going to work and if so what is the
definition of, "work"!
If 80% of Iran 's
economy is based upon the oil industry and Iran
has seen nearly 50% drop in that industry does that equate into the people of Iran
rising up against the Iranian government?
Is it a given fact that the Iranian people will blame the
Iranian government for the austere environment brought on by the sanctions or
can they be convinced that the sanctions of the actions of nations unwilling to
see Iran become successful?
I've said this before and I will say it again; we need to be
very careful of what we, "wish for"!
I have no doubt the Iranian government, the true Iranian
leadership, will do its level best to blame Ahmadinejad for the worsening
economic conditions.
Ahmadinejad is a safe target and even worse and unlike
target of the true Iranian leadership.
The question becomes, as I stated last week, does
Ahmadinejad allow the blame to be placed upon his shoulders?
Well, it's easy to see the two issues go hand-in-hand.
As reports continued to grow about the impact of sanctions
on the Iranian government simultaneously as reports continued to grow about the
conflict inside the Iranian government, does this all process drive towards
ending someone has actually contemplated?
As times get harder for the Iranian people and international
affairs around the Iranian government become direr, is this all leading to a desirable
ending?
Sanctions stacked on top of internal personality and ideological
differences inside the Iranian government; was that or is that the plan?
Desperate nations, leaders, have historically taken
desperate and often drastic actions to prevent their demise!
Wrecking the Iranian oil industry; does that answer the
Iranian nuclear weapons issue?
Solving problems at the international nationstate level is
never easy and I'm fairly convinced sanctions on Iran provide no simple answers.
http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=298719
