OPERATION PROTECTIVE EDGE…… WHERE DOES IT LEAD?

Well, just about an hour ago, the IDF announced what we all knew was coming; yet another “operation” in Gaza.

Will this one be different and if so, why?

A few days ago, I made the comment the next event involving the IDF may be far different than any since 1973.

Now the question becomes, was I correct?

Can the IDF and the government of Netanyahu afford to look indecisive and by the way, they do.

When part of the current government stands  up and announces Netanyahu as being slow to react, well take a moment to remember who  they are talking about.

Is Netanyahu “reluctant”?

Before I can even imagine trying to answer such a loaded question, I have to ask myself; why?

Why would a man who is willing to risk everything for the sake of Israel suddenly been seen as indecisive?

 Simply put; what is going on here?

For several years now the standard benchmark for IDF action is the level of recall of its reserve forces.

I have often addressed the issue of to estimate the pending actions of a modern day military.

Without going over those same talking points again, let me jump to the next question.

Are we seeing the signs of a classic major operation?

Before we  answer “no’, we need contemplate if the IDF has taken this indicator into the planning process?

Does the IDF have a plan for major offensive operations without selling the story with large preparatory actions?

Can they counter the force capable of coming out of Gaza with a limited call up?

This is where my answer gets more than complicated and even bleak!

No!!!

The IDF cannot counter the full force of what can launch from Gaza with a “limited” operation.

If the IDF was going to execute another “limited” operation, why would Netanyahu be “reluctant”?

Back to the original question!!!

Could Netanyahu risk lives for the sake of waiting until the Gaza response is disproportional to a “limited” IDF operation?

No.

He is not like other Western leaders….far from it.

Has Hamas made it known their actions are going to be limited?

Does Netanyahu know more than the media?

Is this set to calm down after a few days of violent raids and rockets?

Is this 2006…2008… 2012. All over again?

No.

Why?

Because on the fringe of the Hamas movement is the new Hero of the youthful Sunni male population in the region.

Yes…… ISIS!

If Hamas wants to lose control of Gaza, then been seen as indecisive with Israel.

Let the rumor get out a “deal” has been struck.

The heroes or the region are just as willing and able to overtake Hamas as they are to overtake Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Look…….. this new event is not like the others and it’s not because of the IDF or Hamas.

The “new” dynamic is ISIS and a region boiling at the edge of the pot!

Tonight Operation Protective Edge begins.

Where does it end?

Badly…that’s where it ends….. badly…

More graves for more young Israelis and  Muslims.

And as the skies over Gaza and Israel light up with bombs and rockets, the Persians sit in Tehran smiling.