Monday, May 14, 2012















LEBANON AND THE IRANIAN  REACTION.

The news from Lebanon, as predicted, is getting more and more dire!

For months I've commented on the grave consequences for the region if Lebanon where to slide into the Syrian madness.

It now appears that event may be on the verge of taking place.

I could comment about the consequences for nations such as Israel, Turkey ect.. ect.. but it is far more important to readdress the primary issue resulting from these events.

Iran!!!

Again and again I have sounded the alarm about Iran not tolerating the loss of it's proxy
 front for war with Israel.

Miqati is very close to decision time.

Does he stick with the sinking ship named Assad and Hezbollah  or does he begin to move Lebanon away from the madness?

The rumors Iran is now issuing orders to Lebanese Military Commanders are most likely true, and it would be nothing new!!!

He knows Tripoli has always been the canary in the cage for pending trouble in Lebanon and that canary is very sick!!!

So, just how bad is this for the region?

Simple.... it's the one thing nobody wanted to have happen and yet, they all believe it's about to.

So... what does Iran do?

To understand that potential answer, just read the attached story about the GCC.

Saudi understands all to well what Iran will do to attempt to counter the loss of Syria and now, unbelievably, Lebanon..

The GCC understands as well.

Bahrain will become target number one!!!

It's been in the spotlight from time to time, but other more pressing issues have overtaken the media every time.

Early last year, when Iran tried to get Bahrain to become the spotlight issue.... to take pressure off of Assad, Saudi jumped in and made their commitment known to the whole world.

Before Iran could develop the turmoil needed in Bahrain, Syria caught fire and refocused Iranian leadership.

Initially, the GCC set out to shore up their kingdoms fearing the wave of the Arab Spring!

Soon, it became clear to them, the proxy counter by Iran would be along the Gulf States.

Ok.. let's keep this simple!

Lebanon is closer to real violence than at anytime in the past ten years. even worse than 2005 assignations.. .does anyone even remember that event or the current STL issue?

Iran is watching it's worst nightmare come true... the loss of Syria.. the loss of Hamas.. the loss of Lebanon / Hezbollah.

Make no mistake... Hezbollah will redirect all of it's energy to address issues in Lebanon and by doing so, Iran dictatorial relationship will be in jeopardy.

The region is about to become a great deal more dangerous.

Keep you eyes on Lebanon!!!