KHADER ADNAN'S HUNGER STRIKE AND WHAT IT MEANS.

In a typical year for the Middle East, this event would probably  not rise to the level of international attention, but these are far from " normal" times in the Middle East.

Now, this is not the first time Israeli authorities have encountered hunger strike tactics, never the less, they understand how easily this particular event could get out of hand.

What is important to remember about this event is who is willing to allow it to escalate and who may feel the timing is all wrong for any event to overtake current events.

Islamic Jihad groups that are outside the control of the Muslim Brotherhood appear to see the status of Adnan as a potential flashpoint ripe for exploitation.

The Iranians assess the Islamic Jihad's focus on this issue as an opportunity for distraction from the Syrian crisis.

That doesn't mean Iran and Islamic Jihad in Palestine are sharing ideas, although , " the enemy of my enemy is my friend" , concept is never far from day to day reality in the Middle East.

So, to keep it simple.... Iran see this Adnan's hunger strike as a potential opportunity as does Islamic Jihad in Gaza.

The Muslim Brotherhood has a master plan underway and this hunger strike issue threatens to get out of control and thus threatens to disrupt the MB's " Master Plan".

Israel must be careful and not over react, yet they cannot afford to have anything happen to Adnan; unless of course the Israelis have figured out a way to manipulate the event to their advantage.

So you see... a simple hunger strike... like thousands in the past.. is no longer a " simple" event!! 

Just one more issue that needs to be watched carefully.

When the entire area is doused in fuel and sparks are flying everywhere.. it's impossible to  believe there will be no fire!!

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2012/02/201221842847443790.html

THIS IS  A REPOST OF THE LAST STORY I POSTED.


When I posted this story the other day, I did not cut and paste the whole article. 
This is the complete post.

A few things about these recent attacks need to be addressed.

1.  It's not just the opinion of the US as to the likelihood of these
attacks being coordinated that is important.

I would argue that in a time of heightened paranoia on the part of
Iran and Israel, the real concern here should be what Israel believes.

Some will speculate Israel is looking for an excuse to take action
against Iran or Hezbollah and some would argue that Iran may wish this as
well.

Two nations looking for a fight can blunder into an event with
little logic.

2.  The classic, " A picture is worth a thousand words", applies to the
video released by the government of Thailand today.

Those two young Iranian men where not just local knuckle heads!!

The physical conditioning, the way they wore the extremely heavy
backpacks and the confidence in their walk does not resemble a mentally ill
individual, who would "Lone Wolf"  an attack.. oh ya... two guys
does not constitute a " Lone Wolf"!!


Is it possible Iran is attempting to push Israel into an altercation?

Let me answer that by making a statement.

Iran cannot save Syria by initiating an attack on Israel.

Iran cannot save its reliance on Hamas by initiating an attack on Israel.

Iran cannot save its reliance on Lebanon and Hezbollah by initiating an
attack on Israel.

Iran has no chance of gaining any support in the region or the world for
that matter, if it goes on the offensive; regardless of sanctions or their
impact on Iran!

For Iran to utilize Hezbollah operatives to attack Israeli key leaders;
remember who died four years ago, might be the only way they can insure an
Israeli response that would show Iran as the victim.

Hezbollah operations in Lebanon being pounded  by the IDF ,allows Iran to
react from the side of " savior" not as aggressor.

Is Syria and Hamas and Hezbollah worth this risk to Iran?

How could it not be?

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia/2012/02/201221555522250455.html