2013: WHERE IS THE MIDDLE EAST
HEADING? PART 1:
To begin the discussion of what may happen in the year ahead
with Middle East , let's play an interesting
game of, "what if".
What if:
What if the Israelis begin to truly realize the concept of
the GCC leading the, "fight", against Persians?
What if the Israelis could leverage the Arab anxieties
towards the Persians more than just simple backroom conversations and
unofficial contacts?
It is not news that the Israelis have realized for some time
Arab nations anxiety over the Iranians, but evidence that the Israelis and
truly learned how to, "leverage", this anxiety is inconclusive best.
So, what if 2013 is the year where the Israelis expand upon reaching
a working solution, at least on paper and in the media, with the GCC's nations in
order to pacify Palestinian statehood issue?
The recent conversations between Israelis and the Jordanians
and the Israelis and the Turkish government could well be an indicator such an Israeli
concept.
Just think the position the Iranians would be a if the issue
of the Palestinian statehood with at least a point of physical confrontation
was not needed more likely?
Iranians have always counted on the Palestinian statehood
issue as their major support base in the Arab world.
I like everyone else fully realize the lack of this
confrontational agenda would not stop Iran from supporting and promoting
more radical elements Islamic fundamentalism, but believe it or not public
support in the Arab community is an important factor to the Iranians.
You see, the Iranians not only have to worry about the
opinions of the Arab youth and the common working people in the region, they
must more importantly worry about the opinions of the Iranian public.
Simply put, a level de-escalation in the Palestinian
statehood issue is disastrous news for the Iranian government.
So, in 2013 the Iranians could easily be facing a loss of
two proxy supporters, Syria ,
Iraq ;
a topic I will discuss further tomorrow.
I am very confident that when the Iranian, Persians, look
into their crystal ball, 2013 is not a year of high hopes for the future of the
current Iranian government.
2013 will begin with the continued crisis called Syria , but it could end with a crisis in side of
Iran or dealing with Iran .
