HEZBOLLAH'S ACTIONS IN
In the past, I have addressed the issue of why Hezbollah can
and cannot afford to be involved in the Syrian Civil War, but now the issue of
"involvement is nearly a mute point!
Lets review several key issues on the topic, before
addressing what the next step now seems to be.
1. Hezbollah has
struggled with the concept of risking their response capabilities, in regards
to Israel ,
by being drawn into the Syrian conflict.
2. Hezbollah has
created an internal rift over the issue of members being killed in a cause that
does not involve Israel .
4. Hezbollah fears
the potential loss of control in Lebanon
by being over tasked with supporting Assad and Tehran .
5. Hezbollah is
desperate to avoid a open conflict that would witness Hamas members openly
fighting Hezbollah members.
6. Hezbollah
understands the "perception" the Shia of Lebanon will adopt if
Hezbollah is seen as reluctant or ineffective at "defending" the Shia
towns along the Syrian border.
So, what do these six issues really mean to Hezbollah and
the rest of the region?
It's simple........... Hezbollah must fight or they must
walk away from Assad and Tehran !!!!
Their real predicament is.... they can't survive ether
event.
The loss of a combat capable Hezbollah is a blow to Iran and
perhaps a fatal blow!
Like the "White Walkers" of Game of Thrones... The
Sunni are coming and the Iranian version of the
"Nights Watch" ///
Hezbollah /// have little chance of succeeding.
What options would Iran have left???
That is the real....real.... danger!!