SO.. QUSAYR BATTLE ENDS??????  NOW WHAT?????

So, the Rebels, Terrorist, take your pick, have been pushed out of Qusayr?

Yes, it was all the talk today, but the intelligent conversations on what it means or more importantly, what could it lead to.......well... that never seem to take place today!

Lets take a quick shot at this in order to get back to the issue of Turkey on Friday.

Ok, If the Sunni fighters have suffered a true tactical defeat, one that was bound to happen given their decision to turn into a regularly fighting force, we have to ask the question, what are they going to do about it?

First off, as I've been saying for several weeks now, the target of opportunity is going to be Shia / Hezbollah's support in Lebanon.

By the way, the tactic of attacking a border outpost right on the Israeli line, knowing all along the Syrian regular military would be forced to respond with overwhelming force........ well... that was a stroke of extremely risky genius..

Think about it.

The Sunni fighters forced the Syrian regular military to engage in close order combat right up on the Israeli border knowing the IDF would only tolerate such actions for a limited time.

If the gamble was to get the IDF to react to the Syrian regular army events, it could have lead to actions that would have swept the issue of Qusayr right off the table.

Luckily, for all of us, the IDF didn't take the bait.

Ok, back to the options for the Sunni fighters.

Striking Hezbollah's "base" is going to be the focus of Sunni operations perhaps for months to come and Lebanon's government is virtually powerless to stop it.

As a matter of fact, Lebanon's military will have its hands full just dealing with Tripoli, not to mention car bombs and gun battles in Beirut.

With all the talk of supply lines now being cut from Lebanon to the Sunni fighters, you would think they are done for...

Take a look at a map...

Notice what other countries border with Syria?

Do you get the picture?

Ok, here is my third and final point on this supposed disaster for the Sunni side of the Civil War.

Taking a objective is only have the battle.

Once you take something, especially in bad guy territory, you have to have the ability to hold it.

In this case Assad, or should I say Hezbollah, not only has to hold the town, they have to convince the people, the ones that are left, it's ok to try and salvage your day to day life!

Hezbollah has the advantage now and that is helping Assad hope for his future, but the reality is, Hezbollah has never been a force of prolonged combat.

Lets see where they are after a year of sustained losses.

Lets see how their leadership begins to deal with IEDs in Tripoli, Bekaa Valley and even Beirut.

When the bodies of the young Hezbollah fighters start to come home from Homs and Aleppo, how will Hezbollah leadership explain they are defending Shia towns in Syria's North?

Yes, the victory of this one battle goes to Assad, but the price that is being paid is the combat effectiveness of Iran's top Proxy / non Iranian / fighters.... Hezbollah.

It's all fun and glorious right now.... it's the nature of young men in love with the thrill of battle!

In a few months, when their homes back in Lebanon are the scenes of endless street battles and car bombs, then what?

As the song goes, " The Thrill is Gone"!!!!