UKRAINE’S “ANTI TERRORISM” DISASTER!
A few weeks ago, when it was announced the new government in
the Ukraine was going to form a “National
Guard”, I commented on why this would be taking place and how the new
government had no real idea who could be trusted inside the Ukrainian military.
For the past few days I’ve addressed the issue of “planning”
and how this so called Anti Terrorism operation was most likely far more
complicated than the new government of
Ukraine was capable of pulling off.
So, what happened today?
How is it that the much announced “anti terrorism” operation
in Eastern Ukraine turned into a photo op for the pro Russian side?
My hunch is a few things may have happened and none of them
bold well for the new government in Kiev.
First off, if the Ukrainian government utilized members of
this new “National Guard” force, one that has a little over a month of
training, then the outcome the world witnessed was more than predictable.
If this response force had members from that region of
Ukraine, then the reluctance to combat their fellow countrymen was again more
than predictable.
So, let’s go back to my point of the past few days; poor
planning by unqualified planners can only lead to disaster and today was a disaster
for Kiev.
What we are witnessing in the Eastern region of Ukraine is
the clash between detailed, professional planning and panic planning exited by unprofessional
planners.
Here is an example of what I’m talking about.
Rumors were all over the place today over the fact that many
of the “Little Green Men”, the pro Russian men in matching uniforms with no
patches, were from Crimea and were actually Ukrainian and not just Russian Special
Forces; although they are also part of this processes.
A brilliant move on the Russian’s part!
Side Note:
Is not the Crimea now part of Russia; hence …are these troops in
reality Russian troops?
I will admit, taking the airfield back yesterday did hint at
some level of tactical response on the part of the new Ukrainian government.
Airfields are prime initial targets of any Russian movement
into the region and unlike in the Crimea, the Ukrainian military, what is left
of it, seemed to figure that out.
Here is the bad news.
If the Russians decide to come, the forces at the recaptured
airfield won’t hold for an hour or so.
So, what did today show us?
My opinion doesn’t hold well for the Ukrainian government,
but the bad news doesn’t stop at Kiev.
What today showed the world is the complete breakdown of what was left of the
Ukrainian military and to what level the leadership must have been dismissed.
The plan that began to execute yesterday was a complete
failure and it’s an ideation that any follow on action will be even more
reckless.
The real bad news is, the next round of reckless operations
will most likely lead to open conflict and that is exactly what the Tsar is
counting on.
The Ukrainian military is all but dysfunctional and its
ability to defend the new government is truly nonexistent.
A week or two of armed thugs killing each other and the media
showing panicked civilians running for their lives will lead to calls for some
form of intervention.
That call may come from Moscow before it comes from anywhere
else and that my friends was the Tsar’s plan from day one!
As a reminder… The Ukraine is not the only phase of the Tsar
plan to rebuild the Russian Empire.
