BALANCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST.. IT’S CONTINUES TO SLIP AWAY!
How long has Western intelligence known the Saudis have DF-3
missiles?
Well, we would hope since the time they showed up, but this
is not always the case.
I could tell you about a conversation I had with a Saudi
Prince twenty-four years ago, but I won’tJ
For the sake of moving on with this posting, let’s assume,
yep my favorite game, everyone knew the Saudis had these weapons….. to include
the Iranian!
Does owing a nuclear capable missile mean nuclear weapons
are actually in the possession of the country that displays the missiles?
Obviously not!
Would the Chinese have sold the Saudis nukes nearly 30 years
ago?
No.
Did the Saudi’s finance the Pakistani nuclear weapon’s
program?
For the most part…yes… or so goes the rumor!
Did the Paks develop a warhead that would fit on a DF-3?
Now, this is where the answers start to get a little fuzzy!
Would the Paks provide such a warhead to the Saudis?
A complicated answer would go here, but honestly it would
take too long and drive this posting off track.
Could Pakistan deliver such a device to the Saudis or anyone
else without Western Intelligence knowing?
Yep… Another complicated answer… avoided….
Ok, let’s give up on the real complicated tactical questions
and concentrate on the strategic topic at hand.
Everyone, well, nearly everyone, agrees the balance in the Middle
East is changing and it’s changing in coordinated and uncoordinated movements.
Story after story has been put out there over the issue of
the dwindling alliance between the US and Saudi and how Saudi is looking for
new “partners”!
A Saudi – Pakistan “relationship” is not new and it’s not half-baked
in its purpose.
If what Saudi did at the end of the exercise known as
Abdullah’s Sword had the intention of sending a “message” to the West, then the
results may be disappointing, at least for now.
“Don’t overreact” …. That is the golden rule of the current
US administration and most of the US news media follows the orders on a consistent
schedule.
Was it “Big News” the Saudi’s showed the DF-3?
If you asked the US DoS or DoD, the answer would most likely
be a very scripted, “no”!
Who was the targeted audience for this Saudi message?
Iran?
Yes.
The West / US / ?
Yes!
Did it work?
Remember…… “Don’t overreact”….
With the Persians… now is not the time for a war of words
with the Arabs who found oil.
So, did the message go unheard?
Not hardly!
When you read this story, it’s who attended that should
catch your eye.
Is it the first time Pac DV’s attended an event in Saudi?
No.
Is it the first time they have attended the Abdullah’s Sword
event?
Good question.
If the message presented by this even was aimed towards the
West / US / and the Persians, who else may have been paying attention?
The Tsar?
Oh ya.
The Dragon?
Yep.
The Israelis?
Uhm… Add them to the list of those who knew what was in
Saudi and you can probably add knowing where it was… how many.. and how good
the crews are.
This may not have been, on the surface, the dramatic event
the Saudis were anticipating, if they were anticipating drama…. They often
specialize in “messages…. Inside of messages”, but I will tell you what it absolutely
was.
It was and is just another indication of what direction the
region is heading and the reality is those who called the shots for the region,
the West, have all but lost that once exclusive and often abused privilege.
The region continues to move…movement brought on by the
death of American Exceptionalism and the all too predictable outcome of that
death…. The Arab Spring.
The Universal law of the physical universe… Balance!
It has been disrupted in the Middle East and now perhaps
Europe.
What happens with balance is lost?
Yep… you know the
answer!
