It appears just about everyone is convinced that some level
of action is going to take place sometime in the near future.
It is also very evident no one really comprehends what
reactions may come from a "strategic / limited / show of force, you call
it what you want.
As I stated yesterday, it's going to be a hard sell to convince
Tehran and Damascus
any action is not based on the classic, Regime Change concept.
What did finally pop up today was the valid question of,
"what if the results of the actions lead the fall of Assad"?
The level of planning I can assure you is intense, but the
level of anticipated reaction... well that is almost always the unknown delta
of the process.
As we witness the apparent preparation for some level of
conflict in Syria
and honestly possibly in the region, we cannot forget the gold rule... the Law
of Unintended Consequences.
Most military planners worth their weight in salt will
always develop COAs, Course of Action, that address the targeted enemy not adhering to the unwritten rule of proportionality.
Now that the Secretary of
State for the US
has spoken, we need to watch the next 24 hrs to see just what level of verbal
response Assad and his Master's respond with.
That will set the stage for just how serious this pending
event could become.
